Match Info

League One - Round 6

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Mie Suzuka Sports Garden (Suzuka)


	Honda Heat		Urayasu D-Rocks

	1	X	2
	2.22	23	1.68
	2.41	22.75	1.62
	2.25	21	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.23)	22.25 ↑ (21.37)	1.64 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honda Heat
40%

Draw
4.1%

Urayasu D-Rocks
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

4.3%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

4.3%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honda Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Urayasu D-Rocks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honda Heat than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urayasu D-Rocks than the current prediction. (-2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (15 - 13)
2nd Half (17 - 10)

Preview

Honda Heat has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Urayasu D-Rocks has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Urayasu D-Rocks will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Honda Heat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 70:111. (average 23.3:37).

Including home match between the teams, Honda Heat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:39.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Honda Heat
Japan League One Rugby Union
17.01.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Honda Heat	30:15 ✺
10.01.26	Honda Heat - Kubota Spears	21:45 ✺
26.12.25	Ricoh Black Rams - Honda Heat	32:28 ✺
20.12.25	Honda Heat - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	20:28 ✺
13.12.25	Toyota Verblitz - Honda Heat	44:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Urayasu D-Rocks
Japan League One Rugby Union
17.01.26	Urayasu D-Rocks - Toshiba Brave Lupus	27:38 ✺
09.01.26	Urayasu D-Rocks - Canon Eagles	28:22 ✺
28.12.25	Shizuoka Blue Revs - Urayasu D-Rocks	21:34 ✺
21.12.25	Panasonic Wild Knights - Urayasu D-Rocks	37:19 ✺
13.12.25	Urayasu D-Rocks - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	27:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
21.03.25	Honda Heat - Urayasu D-Rocks	31:39
07.02.25	Urayasu D-Rocks - Honda Heat	31:26
19.02.21	Urayasu D-Rocks - Honda Heat	41:13

Honda Heat - Urayasu D-Rocks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide