Match Info

League One - Round 15

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Mie Suzuka Sports Garden (Suzuka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	J sports 1


	Honda Heat		Panasonic Wild Knights

	1	X	2
	8	34	1.05
	10	50	1.05
	10	50	1.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.33 ↓ (11)	44.67 ↓ (45)	1.05 ↑ (1.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-20)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honda Heat
9.9%

Draw
2.1%

Panasonic Wild Knights
88%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.5%

2.1%

89.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honda Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Panasonic Wild Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Honda Heat - Panasonic Wild Knights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 41:21

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Basson M.	1. Inagaki K. (C)
2. Hida K.	2. Sato K.
3. Yoshioka T.	3. Finau L.
4. Abbott M.	4. Mitchell L.
5. Mostert F.	5. de Jager L.
6. Kobayashi R. (C)	6. Fukui S.
7. Furuta R.	7. Gunter B.
8. Tupou T.	8. Cornelsen J.
9. Doei A.	9. Takagi Y.
10. Gwante O.	10. Yamasawa K.
11. Sulunga L.	11. Koroibete M.
12. Vunipola M.	12. de Allende D.
13. Kellerman D.	13. Taniyama H.
14. Motomura N.	14. Takeyama K.
15. Banks T.	15. Noguchi R.
Substitutes
16. Shirahama H.	16. Sakate A.
17. Tsurukawa T.	17. Millar C.
18. Fakai F.	18. Ai Valu A.
19. Nishimura R.	19. Ha'angana E.
20. Swanepoel J.	20. Onishi I.
21. Nezuka S.	21. Hagihara S.
22. Li T.	22. Saito T.
23. Hunt T.	23. Kawasaki S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (19 - 19)
8', Noguchi R. (Try),
9', Yamasawa K. (Conversion Goal),
14', Koroibete M. (Try),
20', Gwante O. (Try),
22', Sato K. (Try),
23', Yamasawa K. (Conversion Goal),
30', Kellerman D. (Try),
31', Vunipola M. (Conversion Goal),
37', Motomura N. (Try),
38', Vunipola M. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 34)
41', Gunter B. (Try),
42', Yamasawa K. (Conversion Goal),
47', Takeyama K. (Try),
51', Yamasawa K. (Penalty Goal),
55', Banks T. (Try),
56', Vunipola M. (Conversion Goal),
64', Sakate A. (Try),
65', Yamasawa K. (Try),
68', Cornelsen J. (Conversion Goal),
77', Yamasawa K. (Try),
78', Yamasawa K. (Conversion Goal),
80', Li T. (Try),
80', Vunipola M. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Honda Heat has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Wild Knights is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Honda Heat have a series of guest games.

In this match Wild Knights is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Honda Heat won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 48:159 (average 16:53).

Including matches at home between the teams Honda Heat won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Honda Heat
Japan League One Rugby Union
05.04.25	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Honda Heat	60:31 ✺
30.03.25	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Honda Heat	59:21 ✺
21.03.25	Honda Heat - Urayasu D-Rocks	31:39 ✺
15.03.25	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Honda Heat	47:5 ✺
01.03.25	Shizuoka Blue Revs - Honda Heat	44:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Panasonic Wild Knights
Japan League One Rugby Union
05.04.25	Panasonic Wild Knights - Toyota Verblitz	55:17 ✺
28.03.25	Urayasu D-Rocks - Panasonic Wild Knights	26:54 ✺
22.03.25	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Panasonic Wild Knights	42:31 ✺
15.03.25	Shizuoka Blue Revs - Panasonic Wild Knights	22:17 ✺
02.03.25	Panasonic Wild Knights - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	46:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
12.01.25	Panasonic Wild Knights - Honda Heat	48:24
20.01.24	Panasonic Wild Knights - Honda Heat	70:12
06.10.18	Honda Heat - Panasonic Wild Knights	12:41

Honda Heat - Panasonic Wild Knights: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide