Match Info

League One - Round 5

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Chichibunomiya Rugby Stadium (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath		Honda Heat

	1	X	2
	1.08	40	7
	1.10	29.94	7.37	Watch
	1.08	34	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.1)	34.65 ↑ (28.36)	7.12 ↑ (7.02)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath
84.5%

Draw
2.6%

Honda Heat
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.6%

3.2%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Honda Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 10)
2nd Half (20 - 5)

Preview

In this match, Suntory Sungoliath is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suntory Sungoliath won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 212:90. (average 42.4:18).

Including home matches between the teams, Suntory Sungoliath won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 120:41. (average 60:20.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath
Japan League One Rugby Union
10.01.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	20:22 ✺
27.12.25	Kubota Spears - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	79:20 ✺
20.12.25	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Toyota Verblitz	43:25 ✺
12.12.25	Ricoh Black Rams - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	15:29 ✺
18.05.25	Kubota Spears - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	20:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWL
- Honda Heat
Japan League One Rugby Union
10.01.26	Honda Heat - Kubota Spears	21:45 ✺
26.12.25	Ricoh Black Rams - Honda Heat	32:28 ✺
20.12.25	Honda Heat - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	20:28 ✺
13.12.25	Toyota Verblitz - Honda Heat	44:33 ✺
30.05.25	Honda Heat - Kintetsu Liners	29:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
05.04.25	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Honda Heat	60:31
18.01.25	Honda Heat - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	19:27
13.04.24	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Honda Heat	60:10
23.12.23	Honda Heat - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	16:34
28.02.21	Honda Heat - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	14:31

Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Honda Heat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide