Match Info

League One - Round 4

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Mie Suzuka Sports Garden (Suzuka)


	Honda Heat		Kubota Spears

	1	X	2
	4.5	30	1.19
	4.99	29.48	1.19
	4.5	29	1.18
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (4.54)	29.49 ↑ (29.06)	1.19 ↓ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honda Heat
19.7%

Draw
3.1%

Kubota Spears
77.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

3.2%

76.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honda Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Kubota Spears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Honda Heat - Kubota Spears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:39

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 31)
2nd Half (21 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Honda Heat won 0.

In this match, Kubota is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Honda Heat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 107:276. (average 17.8:46).

Including home matches between the teams, Honda Heat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 56:138. (average 18.7:46).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Honda Heat
Japan League One Rugby Union
26.12.25	Ricoh Black Rams - Honda Heat	32:28 ✺
20.12.25	Honda Heat - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	20:28 ✺
13.12.25	Toyota Verblitz - Honda Heat	44:33 ✺
30.05.25	Honda Heat - Kintetsu Liners	29:19 ✺
24.05.25	Kintetsu Liners - Honda Heat	25:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWW
- Kubota Spears
Japan League One Rugby Union
27.12.25	Kubota Spears - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	79:20 ✺
20.12.25	Kubota Spears - Ricoh Black Rams	50:28 ✺
13.12.25	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Kubota Spears	28:33 ✺
01.06.25	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Kubota Spears	18:13 ✺
25.05.25	Panasonic Wild Knights - Kubota Spears	24:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
25.04.25	Kubota Spears - Honda Heat	39:20
04.01.25	Honda Heat - Kubota Spears	27:32
27.04.24	Kubota Spears - Honda Heat	61:24
15.12.23	Honda Heat - Kubota Spears	0:75
13.03.21	Kubota Spears - Honda Heat	38:7
22.09.18	Honda Heat - Kubota Spears	29:31

Honda Heat - Kubota Spears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide