Match Info
EUROPE: Six Nations - Round 2Date: 8 February 2025, SaturdayLocation: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)Referee: Carley M. (Eng)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | ESPN 3 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | France 2 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Ireland | Virgin Media One, Virgin Media Player |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | ITV 1, ITV X, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C, STV, STV Player, UTV |
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|
 |
|
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Italy |
|
Wales |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.5 |
26 |
2.9 |
|
 |
1.44 |
21 |
2.88 |
|
 |
1.39 |
22 |
3 |
|
 |
1.41 |
22.11 |
3.15 |
 Watch |
 |
1.5 |
23 |
2.75 |
|
 |
1.43 |
20 |
3.36 |
|
 |
1.39 |
22 |
3 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.41) |
22.3 ↑
(21.37) |
3.01 ↓
(3.08) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 41.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Italy
64.8% | Draw
4.2% | Wales
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Wales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Italy - Wales Predictions
Users Predictions:
Italy will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:18 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (16 - 3)
- 6', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
- 17', Tompkins N. ↓, Hathaway J. ↑,
- 17', Thomas B. (Penalty Goal),
- 22', Capuozzo A. (Try),
- 23', Allan T. (Conversion Goal),
- 27', Garbisi P. (Missed Drop Goal),
- 30', Hathaway J. ↓, Tompkins N. ↑,
- 30', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
- 34', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (6 - 12)
- 46', Thomas H. ↓, Assiratti K. ↑,
- 46', Thomas G. ↓, Smith N. ↑,
- 46', Lloyd E. ↓, Dee E. ↑,
- 50', Thomas B. ↓, Edwards D. ↑,
- 55', Nicotera G. ↓, Lucchesi G. ↑,
- 55', Ferrari S. ↓, Riccioni M. ↑,
- 55', Allan T. (Missed Penalty),
- 59', Botham J. ↓, Wainwright A. ↑,
- 59', Rowlands W. ↓, Williams T. ↑,
- 59', Page-Relo M. (Missed Penalty),
- 59', Adams J. 🟨,
- 59', Garbisi P. ↓, Trulla J. ↑,
- 61', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
- 62', Ruzza F. ↓, Lamb-Cona D. ↑,
- 62', Rogers T. ↓, Hathaway J. ↑,
- 62', Negri S. ↓, Vintcent R. ↑,
- 68', Fischetti D. ↓, Zuliani M. ↑,
- 68', Lamaro M. ↓, Rizzoli L. ↑,
- 70', Williams T. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
- 70', Wainwright A. (Try),
- 70', Page-Relo M. ↓, Garbisi A. ↑,
- 71', Edwards D. (Missed Conversion),
- 72', Trulla J. ↓, Garbisi P. ↑,
- 74', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
- 75', Allan T. ↓, Trulla J. ↑,
- 80', Lamb-Cona D. 🟨,
- 80+2', Riccioni M. 🟨,
- 80+3', (Penalty Try),
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 5 and 6).Last 5 head-to-head matches Italy won 2. Italy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. In this match Italy is a favorite.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Italy won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 201:496 (average 13.4:33.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Six Nations | | | 16.03.24 | Wales - Italy | 21:24 | | 11.03.23 | Italy - Wales | 17:29 | | 19.03.22 | Wales - Italy | 21:22 | | 13.03.21 | Italy - Wales | 7:48 | | Autumn Nations Cup Rugby | | | 05.12.20 | Wales - Italy | 38:18 | | Six Nations | | | 01.02.20 | Wales - Italy | 42:0 | | 09.02.19 | Italy - Wales | 15:26 |
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