Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	King Country		Wairarapa Bush

	1	X	2
	2.97	29	1.4
	3	31	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.17)	30 ↑ (23)	1.4 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

King Country
30.9%

Draw
3.1%

Wairarapa Bush
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

King Country has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that King Country's form might have worsened.

Wairarapa Bush has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wairarapa Bush's recent form is better than expected.

#ad

Preview

Wairarapa Bush is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, King Country won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 93:102. (average 23.3:25.5).

Including home matches between the teams, King Country won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 44:49. (average 22:24.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- King Country Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
05.09.25	King Country - Horowhenua-Kapiti	36:46 ✺
29.08.25	Thames Valley - King Country	24:20 ✺
22.08.25	King Country - Poverty Bay	47:26 ✺
15.08.25	West Coast - King Country	38:18 ✺
19.10.24	King Country - West Coast	46:44 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLW
- Wairarapa Bush Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
05.09.25	West Coast - Wairarapa Bush	14:24 ✺
29.08.25	Wairarapa Bush - Mid Canterbury	33:36 ✺
22.08.25	North Otago - Wairarapa Bush	29:56 ✺
15.08.25	Wairarapa Bush - South Canterbury	29:50
04.10.24	East Coast - Wairarapa Bush	45:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
22.10.21	King Country - Wairarapa Bush	12:24
06.09.19	Wairarapa Bush - King Country	37:31
08.09.17	King Country - Wairarapa Bush	32:25
26.08.16	Wairarapa Bush - King Country	16:18

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wairarapa Bush Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
09.10.26	South Canterbury - Wairarapa Bush	✺

King Country - Wairarapa Bush: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide