Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday


	Thames Valley		King Country

	1	X	2
	1.14	26	5.7
	1.14	26	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↑ (1.13)	26 ↓ (35)	5.7 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thames Valley
80.4%

Draw
3.5%

King Country
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.5%

2.6%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thames Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

King Country has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

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Preview

In this match, Thames Valley is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Thames Valley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 119:113. (average 29.8:28.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Thames Valley won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 51:59. (average 25.5:29.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thames Valley Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
22.08.25	South Canterbury - Thames Valley	34:35 ✺
15.08.25	Thames Valley - Mid Canterbury	34:50 ✺
18.10.24	Thames Valley - Mid Canterbury	37:29 ✺
11.10.24	Whanganui - Thames Valley	15:38 ✺
04.10.24	Thames Valley - Horowhenua-Kapiti	35:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWWL
- King Country Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
22.08.25	King Country - Poverty Bay	47:26 ✺
15.08.25	West Coast - King Country	38:18 ✺
19.10.24	King Country - West Coast	46:44 OT ✺
11.10.24	King Country - East Coast	34:31 ✺
04.10.24	Whanganui - King Country	17:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
31.08.24	King Country - Thames Valley	18:23
14.09.18	Thames Valley - King Country	29:37
22.09.17	King Country - Thames Valley	36:45
09.09.16	Thames Valley - King Country	22:22

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thames Valley Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
09.10.26	Mid Canterbury - Thames Valley	✺

Thames Valley - King Country: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide