Match Info

Heartland Championships - 5th-8th places - Semi-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	South Canterbury		Wairarapa Bush

	1	X	2
	1.25	32	3.65
	1.22	25	4.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.28)	28.5 ↓ (32)	4.04 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Canterbury
74.1%

Draw
3.2%

Wairarapa Bush
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

2.9%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Canterbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Wairarapa Bush has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Bookmakers give the edge to South Cant for this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, South Cant has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 172:108 (averaging 43:27 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for South Cant against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 98:52 goals (averaging 49:26 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	South Cant	8	5	0	3	391:253	28
8	Wairarapa	8	5	0	3	277:250	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Canterbury Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
02.10.26	South Canterbury - Poverty Bay	52:29
25.09.26	Thames Valley - South Canterbury	43:42 ✺
18.09.26	South Canterbury - North Otago	28:43 ✺
11.09.26	Mid Canterbury - South Canterbury	43:45 ✺
04.09.26	King Country - South Canterbury	55:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLWL
- Wairarapa Bush Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
02.10.26	Wairarapa Bush - East Coast	56:26
25.09.26	Wairarapa Bush - Whanganui	37:25 ✺
18.09.26	Buller - Wairarapa Bush	21:25 ✺
11.09.26	Wairarapa Bush - King Country	38:54 ✺
04.09.26	Thames Valley - Wairarapa Bush	47:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
15.08.25	Wairarapa Bush - South Canterbury	29:50
23.08.24	South Canterbury - Wairarapa Bush	69:32
28.09.18	Wairarapa Bush - South Canterbury	27:24
06.10.17	South Canterbury - Wairarapa Bush	29:20

South Canterbury - Wairarapa Bush: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide