Match Info

League One - Round 14

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Noevir Stadium (Kobe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	J sports 4


	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers		Toshiba Brave Lupus

	1	X	2
	2.6	21	1.5
	2.55	27	1.56
	2.8	23	1.44
	2.55	27	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.6)	24.5 ↑ (20)	1.52 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers
35.2%

Draw
3.8%

Toshiba Brave Lupus
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

4.5%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

4.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Toshiba Brave Lupus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toshiba Brave Lupus than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Toshiba Brave Lupus Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Toshiba Brave Lupus will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:34

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaivelata K.	1. Kimura S.
2. Matsunaga K.	2. Harada M.
3. Jiwon G.	3. Taufa L.
4. Cowley-Tuioti G.	4. Pierce J.
5. Kotaki N.	5. Dearns W.
6. Costley T.	6. Frizell S.
7. Funaki S.	7. Sasaki T.
8. Saumaki A.	8. Leitch M. (C)
9. Kamimura I.	9. Sugiyama Y.
10. Gatland B.	10. Mo'unga R.
11. Matsuoka K.	11. Mori Y.
12. Lee Seung-Sin (C)	12. Thompson R.
13. Laumape N.	13. Collins M.
14. Hamano J.	14. Naikabula J.
15. Yamanaka R.	15. Matsunaga T.
Substitutes
16. Turner G.	16. Hashimoto D.
17. Takao S.	17. Mikami M.
18. Maeda S.	18. Makabe T.
19. Raratubua W.	19. Anise S.
20. Potgieter W.	20. Ito S.
21. Hiwasa A.	21. Ogawa T.
22. Lafaele T.	22. Kuwayama A.
23. Inoke B.	23. Toyoshima S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (21 - 33)
9', Mori Y. (Try),
9', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
11', Sugiyama Y. (Try),
12', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
16', Mori Y. (Try),
16', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
21', Hamano J. (Try),
22', Gatland B. (Conversion Goal),
30', Hamano J. (Try),
30', Gatland B. (Conversion Goal),
31', Naikabula J. (Try),
33', Mori Y. (Try),
34', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
39', Cowley-Tuioti G. (Try),
40', Gatland B. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (7 - 40)
41', Matsunaga T. (Try),
42', Matsunaga T. (Try),
46', Frizell S. (Conversion Goal),
47', Matsunaga T. (Try),
47', Mounga R. (Conversion Goal),
48', Collins M. (Try),
48', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
54', Frizell S. (Try),
54', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
56', Matsunaga K. (Try),
57', Gatland B. (Conversion Goal),
73', Mori Y. (Try),
74', Mori Y. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kobe Steel won 0.

Kobe Steel is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Toshiba Brave Lupus in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Toshiba Brave Lupus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Toshiba Brave Lupus will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kobe Steel won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 223:256 (average 31.9:36.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Kobe Steel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 104:116 (average 34.7:38.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers
Japan League One Rugby Union
30.03.25	Ricoh Black Rams - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	24:27 ✺
23.03.25	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	37:39 ✺
15.03.25	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Honda Heat	47:5 ✺
02.03.25	Panasonic Wild Knights - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	46:32 ✺
22.02.25	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Toyota Verblitz	63:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLW
- Toshiba Brave Lupus
Japan League One Rugby Union
30.03.25	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Honda Heat	59:21 ✺
22.03.25	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Panasonic Wild Knights	42:31 ✺
15.03.25	Toyota Verblitz - Toshiba Brave Lupus	22:33 ✺
28.02.25	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Kubota Spears	31:27 ✺
21.02.25	Ricoh Black Rams - Toshiba Brave Lupus	44:45 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
04.01.25	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	32:26
14.04.24	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	40:40
24.12.23	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Toshiba Brave Lupus	39:46
03.03.23	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	51:12
27.03.22	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Toshiba Brave Lupus	35:46
14.01.18	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	17:41
11.12.16	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Toshiba Brave Lupus	30:24

Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Toshiba Brave Lupus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide