Match Info

League One - Round 4

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Chichibunomiya Rugby Stadium (Tokyo)


	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath		Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers

	1	X	2
	1.93	23	1.9
	2.14	22.05	1.78
	2	23	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.83)	22.68 ↑ (18.6)	1.83 ↓ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath
45.5%

Draw
4.1%

Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

4.9%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers's recent form is better than expected.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 14)
2nd Half (3 - 8)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suntory Sungoliath won 4.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Suntory Sungoliath will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Suntory Sungoliath won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 349:325. (average 31.7:29.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Suntory Sungoliath won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 182:145. (average 36.4:29).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath
Japan League One Rugby Union
27.12.25	Kubota Spears - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	79:20 ✺
20.12.25	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Toyota Verblitz	43:25 ✺
12.12.25	Ricoh Black Rams - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	15:29 ✺
18.05.25	Kubota Spears - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	20:15 ✺
10.05.25	Panasonic Wild Knights - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	60:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWLL
- Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers
Japan League One Rugby Union
27.12.25	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Toyota Verblitz	49:29 ✺
20.12.25	Honda Heat - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	20:28 ✺
13.12.25	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Kubota Spears	28:33 ✺
31.05.25	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Panasonic Wild Knights	22:17 ✺
24.05.25	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	31:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
23.03.25	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	37:39
07.02.25	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	29:31
07.04.24	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	27:36
06.01.24	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	44:36
07.04.23	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	25:17
14.01.23	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	19:39
04.03.22	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	56:17

Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide