Match Info

Date: 21 May 2021, Friday


	Leicester Tigers		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	1.75	21	2.15
	1.76	20	2.17
	1.7	19	2.18
	1.73	19	2.25
	1.84	24	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.78)	20.6 ↓ (21.6)	2.18 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 40.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester Tigers
52.9%

Draw
4.5%

Montpellier
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

4.3%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

4.3%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester Tigers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+1%)

Leicester Tigers - Montpellier Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:21

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Preview

Recent matches Leicester Tigers is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montpellier is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Montpellier could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Leicester Tigers won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 56-46.

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester Tigers won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 41-32.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester Tigers
English Premiership Rugby
15.05.21	Leicester Tigers - Harlequins	35:29 ✺
07.05.21	Sale Sharks - Leicester Tigers	26:10 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
30.04.21	Leicester Tigers - Ulster	33:24 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
24.04.21	Leicester Tigers - Northampton Saints	18:23 ✺
18.04.21	Bath - Leicester Tigers	21:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWLL
- Montpellier Hérault RC
French Top 14
15.05.21	Stade Français - Montpellier	32:10 ✺
11.05.21	Montpellier - Toulon	29:10 ✺
08.05.21	Montpellier - La Rochelle	32:22 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
01.05.21	Bath - Montpellier	10:19 ✺
10.04.21	Montpellier - Benetton Treviso	31:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Heineken Cup
15.12.13	Montpellier - Leicester Tigers	14:15
08.12.13	Leicester Tigers - Montpellier	41:32

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