The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bath 74.5%
Draw 3.7%
Leicester Tigers 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
74.7%
3.9%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Leicester Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Bath - Leicester Tigers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:20
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Obano B.
1. Smith N.
2. Tuipulotu K.
2. Blamire J.
3. du Toit T.
3. Heyes J.
4. Hill T.
4. Henderson C.
5. Ewels C.
5. Chessum O.
6. Bayliss J.
6. Liebenberg H.
7. Underhill S.
7. Reffell T.
8. Barbeary A.
8. Cracknell O.
9. Spencer B.
9. van Poortvliet J.
10. Carreras S.
10. O'Connor J.
11. Arundell H.
11. Hamer-Webb G.
12. Ojomoh M.
12. Bailey O.
13. Lawrence O.
13. Wand W.
14. Cokanasiga J.
14. Radwan A.
15. de Glanville T.
15. Pearson G.
Substitutes
16. Frost D.
16. Clare C.
17. van Wyk F.
17. van der Flier A.
18. Sela B.
18. Hurd W.
19. Molony R.
19. Martin G.
20. Richards E.
20. Watson H.
21. Carr-Smith T.
21. Bemand C.
22. Redpath C.
22. Kata S.
23. Reid M.
23. Perese I.
Coaches
. Christoffel van Graan J.
. Parling G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (17 - 17)
3', Bailey O. (Try),
4', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
8', du Toit T. (Try),
9', Carreras S. (Missed Conversion),
13', du Toit T. (Try),
14', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),
25', O'Connor J. (Penalty Goal),
32', Cokanasiga J. (Try),
33', Carreras S. (Missed Conversion),
37', van Poortvliet J. (Try),
38', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (7 - 5)
41', O'Connor J. ↓, Kata S. ↑,
41', Henderson C. ↓, Martin G. ↑,
49', du Toit T. (Try),
50', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),
54', Cracknell O. ↓, Watson H. ↑,
60', Blamire J. ↓, Clare C. ↑,
60', Hamer-Webb G. ↓, Perese I. ↑,
64', Obano B. ↓, van Wyk F. ↑,
64', Smith N. ↓, van der Flier A. ↑,
67', Tuipulotu K. ↓, Frost D. ↑,
67', Heyes J. ↓, Hurd W. ↑,
69', Ewels C. ↓, Molony R. ↑,
69', Barbeary A. ↓, Reid M. ↑,
72', Bayliss J. ↓, Richards E. ↑,
75', du Toit T. ↓, Sela B. ↑,
78', (Try),
80', 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bath won 3.
Bath is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Leicester Tigers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Bath may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Bath has had a series of away games.
In this match, Bath is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bath won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 479:521. (average 24:26.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bath won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 245:232. (average 22.3:21.1).