Match Info

Premiership Rugby - Round 5

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Welford Road (Leicester)

Referee: Dickson K. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Leicester Tigers		Sale Sharks

	1	X	2
	1.4	21	3.1
	1.34	22	3.4
	1.25	25.25	4.31	Watch
	1.41	21	3.29	Watch
	1.4	21	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.25)	22.05 ↓ (25.25)	3.45 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leicester Tigers
68.7%

Draw
4.2%

Sale Sharks
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.7%

3.7%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leicester Tigers's form might have worsened.

Sale Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sale Sharks's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Leicester Tigers - Sale Sharks Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Leicester Tigers will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Sale Sharks will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sale Sharks: 68.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sale Sharks will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:23

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smith N.	1. Opoku-Fordjour A.
2. Blamire J.	2. Cowan-Dickie L.
3. Heyes J.	3. Harper J.
4. Henderson C.	4. van Rhyn E. (C)
5. Chessum O. (C)	5. Bamber B.
6. Liebenberg H.	6. Vermeulen J.
7. Reffell T.	7. Woodman T.
8. Cracknell O.	8. Dugdale S.
9. Whiteley T.	9. Warr G.
10. O'Connor J.	10. Ford G.
11. Hassell-Collins O.	11. O'Flaherty T.
12. Kata S.	12. Maasi-White R.
13. Perese I.	13. du Preez R.
14. Radwan A.	14. Roebuck T.
15. Steward F.	15. James L.
Substitutes
16. Clare C.	16. Jibulu N.
17. Haffar T.	17. Onasanya T.
18. Hurd W.	18. Bell P.
19. Wells H.	19. Burrow T.
20. Ilione E.	20. du Preez D.
21. Allan O.	21. Quirke R.
22. Searle B.	22. Louw M.
23. Bailey O.	23. Reed A.
Coaches
. Parling G.	. Bortolami M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (22 - 7)
8', Radwan A. (Try),
9', O'Connor J. (Missed Conversion),
17', O'Connor J. (Penalty Goal),
19', Cowan-Dickie L. ↓, Jibulu N. ↑,
31', Jibulu N. ↓, Cowan-Dickie L. ↑,
34', Radwan A. (Try),
35', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
37', O'Flaherty T. (Try),
38', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
40+1', Henderson C. (Try),
40+2', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 28)
48', Maasi-White R. ↓, Louw M. ↑,
48', Cracknell O. ↓, Ilione E. ↑,
49', James L. (Try),
49', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
50', Ilione E. (Try),
50', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
51', Warr G. ↓, Quirke R. ↑,
51', Blamire J. ↓, Clare C. ↑,
51', O'Connor J. ↓, Searle B. ↑,
51', Vermeulen J. ↓, du Preez D. ↑,
52', James L. (Try),
53', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
55', Woodman T. ↓, Jibulu N. ↑,
60', Whiteley T. (Try),
60', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
60', Heyes J. ↓, Hurd W. ↑,
61', Harper J. ↓, Onasanya T. ↑,
62', Roebuck T. (Try),
62', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
64', Smith N. ↓, Haffar T. ↑,
64', O'Flaherty T. ↓, Reed A. ↑,
67', Whiteley T. ↓, Allan O. ↑,
70', James L. (Try),
70', Perese I. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,
71', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
72', Henderson C. ↓, Wells H. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester Tigers won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sale Sharks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Leicester Tigers is a strong favorite.

We predict that Leicester Tigers will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leicester Tigers won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 376:531. (average 18.8:26.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Leicester Tigers won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 230:232. (average 23:23.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester Tigers
English Premiership Rugby
18.10.25	Leicester Tigers - Bath	22:20 ✺
11.10.25	Northampton Saints - Leicester Tigers	32:26 ✺
04.10.25	Leicester Tigers - Harlequins	29:19 ✺
28.09.25	Bristol Rugby - Leicester Tigers	42:24 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
19.09.25	Harlequins - Leicester Tigers	17:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLWLW
- Sale Sharks
English Premiership Rugby
18.10.25	Saracens - Sale Sharks	65:14 ✺
10.10.25	Sale Sharks - Newcastle Red Bulls	57:5 ✺
03.10.25	Bath - Sale Sharks	28:16 ✺
25.09.25	Sale Sharks - Gloucester	27:10 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
13.09.25	Sale Sharks - Bristol Rugby	24:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
07.06.25	Leicester Tigers - Sale Sharks	21:16
09.05.25	Leicester Tigers - Sale Sharks	44:34
01.12.24	Sale Sharks - Leicester Tigers	39:25
10.05.24	Sale Sharks - Leicester Tigers	31:22
21.10.23	Leicester Tigers - Sale Sharks	17:24
English Premiership Rugby Cup
15.09.23	Sale Sharks - Leicester Tigers	14:18
English Premiership Rugby
14.05.23	Sale Sharks - Leicester Tigers	21:13

Upcoming Matches