Match Info

Premiership Rugby Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Welford Road (Leicester)

Referee: Walbaum H. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 3


	Leicester Tigers		Bath

	1	X	2
	1.2	21	4.8
	1.14	29.2	6.08	Watch
	1.13	29	5.5
	1.18	35	4.94
	1.15	23	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↑ (1.13)	27.44 ↑ (24)	5.36 ↓ (6.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester Tigers
79.5%

Draw
3.4%

Bath
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.3%

3.8%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Bath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Leicester Tigers - Bath Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Leicester Tigers will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:24

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van der Flier A.	1. Kirk S.
2. Blamire J.	2. Frost D.
3. Hurd W.	3. Verden K.
4. Wells H.	4. Bennett J.
5. Manz T.	5. Richards E.
6. Palmer H.	6. Staddon E.
7. Reffell T.	7. Timmins G.
8. Moro J.	8. Green A.
9. Whiteley T.	9. Davies I.
10. Searle B.	10. Roue W.
11. Hassell-Collins O.	11. Griffin C.
12. Bailey O.	12. Butt W.
13. Wand W.	13. Harris C.
14. Hamer-Webb G.	14. Emens A.
15. Threlfall T.	15. Winters S.
Substitutes
16. Theobald-Thomas F.	16. Tuipulotu K.
17. Haffar T.	17. Emanuel I.
18. Liebenberg H.	18. Summerfield M.
19. Loman A.	19. Maloney J.
20. Manz J.	20. Ridgway A.
21. Bemand C.	21. le Roux N.
22. Woodward J.	22. Linegar J.
23. Perese I.	23. Harrison J.
Coaches
. Parling G.	. Christoffel van Graan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 7)
1', Threlfall T. (Try),
1', Searle B. (Missed Conversion),
7', Manz T. ↓, Liebenberg H. ↑,
9', Staddon E. (Try),
10', Roue W. (Conversion Goal),
16', Searle B. (Try),
16', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
31', Reffell T. (Try),
32', Searle B. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (29 - 14)
41', Bailey O. (Try),
42', Searle B. (Missed Conversion),
47', Reffell T. (Try),
48', Searle B. (Missed Conversion),
48', Green A. ↓, Tuipulotu K. ↑,
52', van der Flier A. ↓, Haffar T. ↑,
52', Blamire J. ↓, Theobald-Thomas F. ↑,
52', Hurd W. ↓, Loman A. ↑,
52', Bailey O. ↓, Woodward J. ↑,
52', Wand W. ↓, Perese I. ↑,
57', Bennett J. ↓, Maloney J. ↑,
64', Tuipulotu K. (Try),
65', Roue W. (Conversion Goal),
67', Palmer H. (Try),
68', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
68', Kirk S. ↓, Emanuel I. ↑,
68', Verden K. ↓, Summerfield M. ↑,
68', Davies I. ↓, le Roux N. ↑,
68', Reffell T. ↓, Manz J. ↑,
68', Searle B. ↓, Bemand C. ↑,
68', Frost D. ↓, Ridgway A. ↑,
73', Moro J. (Try),
74', Whiteley T. (Conversion Goal),
74', Roue W. ↓, Linegar J. ↑,
75', Hassell-Collins O. (Try),
76', Whiteley T. (Missed Conversion),
80+2', Ridgway A. (Try),
80+2', Harrison J. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester Tigers won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Bath may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leicester Tigers is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leicester Tigers won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 498:485. (average 24.9:24.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leicester Tigers won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 266:240. (average 29.6:26.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester Tigers
English Premiership Rugby Cup
21.02.26	Leicester Tigers - Harlequins	33:27 ✺
14.02.26	Saracens - Leicester Tigers	26:31 ✺
06.02.26	Leicester Tigers - Newcastle Red Bulls	28:19 ✺
31.01.26	Northampton Saints - Leicester Tigers	40:22 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
24.01.26	Harlequins - Leicester Tigers	7:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWLW
- Bath Rugby
English Premiership Rugby Cup
28.02.26	Bath - Gloucester	38:26 ✺
21.02.26	Exeter Chiefs - Bath	31:19 ✺
14.02.26	Bath - Bristol Rugby	33:24 ✺
08.02.26	Sale Sharks - Bath	19:60 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
23.01.26	Gloucester - Bath	26:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
18.10.25	Leicester Tigers - Bath	22:20
14.06.25	Bath - Leicester Tigers	23:21
17.05.25	Bath - Leicester Tigers	43:15
29.09.24	Leicester Tigers - Bath	15:20
31.12.23	Leicester Tigers - Bath	35:22
28.10.23	Bath - Leicester Tigers	24:25
04.03.23	Leicester Tigers - Bath	48:27

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