Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 16

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Parc y Scarlets (Llanelli)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby, URC


	Llanelli Scarlets		Blue Bulls

	1	X	2
	5.5	34	1.14
	5.4	30	1.15
	5.61	26.35	1.16	Watch
	5.5	19	1.17
	6	31	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.6 ↑ (4.65)	28.07 ↑ (25.12)	1.15 ↓ (1.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanelli Scarlets
16.5%

Draw
3.3%

Blue Bulls
80.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

3.7%

76.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanelli Scarlets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Blue Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Llanelli Scarlets - Blue Bulls Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:36

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 14)
2nd Half (11 - 9)

Preview

Scarlets is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Blue Bulls has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Blue Bulls may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Blue Bulls is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Scarlets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 93:170. (average 23.3:42.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Scarlets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 60:50. (average 30:25).

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Scarlets: 0.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
7	Bulls	2	1	0	1	69:39	6
14	Scarlets	2	0	0	2	41:59	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanelli Scarlets
United Rugby Championship
18.04.26	Llanelli Scarlets - Cardiff Rugby	24:28 ✺
27.03.26	Leinster - Llanelli Scarlets	36:19 ✺
20.03.26	Llanelli Scarlets - Zebre	36:17 ✺
13.03.26	Connacht - Llanelli Scarlets	31:14 ✺
27.02.26	Edinburgh - Llanelli Scarlets	24:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Blue Bulls Rugby
United Rugby Championship
17.04.26	Newport Gwent Dragons - Blue Bulls	7:47 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
04.04.26	Glasgow Warriors - Blue Bulls	25:21 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.03.26	Blue Bulls - Munster	34:31 ✺
20.03.26	Blue Bulls - Cardiff Rugby	40:7 ✺
14.03.26	Blue Bulls - Stormers	19:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
18.10.24	Llanelli Scarlets - Blue Bulls	23:22
22.10.23	Blue Bulls - Llanelli Scarlets	63:21
27.01.23	Llanelli Scarlets - Blue Bulls	37:28
18.03.22	Blue Bulls - Llanelli Scarlets	57:12

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