Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 14

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday

Location: Aviva Stadium (Dublin)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C, URC


	Leinster		Llanelli Scarlets

	1	X	2
	1.01	51	17
	1.01	45	13
	1.01	41.31	15.4	Watch
	1.01	34	15
	1.01	19.7	25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↓ (1.03)	38.2 ↓ (38.93)	17.08 ↑ (13.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-28)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leinster
92.1%

Draw
2.4%

Llanelli Scarlets
5.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

90.5%

2.4%

7.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leinster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Llanelli Scarlets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Leinster - Llanelli Scarlets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 42:14

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 7)
2nd Half (24 - 12)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leinster won 4.

Leinster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Leinster is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leinster won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 610:385. (average 30.5:19.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leinster won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 414:201. (average 34.5:16.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
11	Scarlets	3	1	0	2	68:85	6
15	Leinster	2	0	0	2	46:53	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leinster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
21.03.26	Glasgow Warriors - Leinster	38:17 ✺
27.02.26	Cardiff Rugby - Leinster	8:7 ✺
31.01.26	Leinster - Edinburgh	28:20 ✺
24.01.26	Connacht - Leinster	23:34 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.01.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Leinster	13:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWW
- Llanelli Scarlets
United Rugby Championship
20.03.26	Llanelli Scarlets - Zebre	36:17 ✺
13.03.26	Connacht - Llanelli Scarlets	31:14 ✺
27.02.26	Edinburgh - Llanelli Scarlets	24:19 ✺
30.01.26	Benetton Treviso - Llanelli Scarlets	20:20 ✺
24.01.26	Llanelli Scarlets - Ulster	27:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
31.05.25	Leinster - Llanelli Scarlets	33:21
26.04.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Leinster	35:22
18.11.23	Leinster - Llanelli Scarlets	54:5
28.10.22	Llanelli Scarlets - Leinster	5:35
16.10.21	Leinster - Llanelli Scarlets	50:15
30.01.21	Llanelli Scarlets - Leinster	25:52
25.01.19	Leinster - Llanelli Scarlets	22:17

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