What is the expert prediction for Llanelli Scarlets vs Zebre?

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Llanelli Scarlets vs Zebre Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, March 20, 2026)

Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 13

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Parc y Scarlets (Llanelli)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, URC


	Llanelli Scarlets		Zebre

	1	X	2
	1.1	34	7
	1.09	35	7
	1.1	30.71	7.54	Watch
	1.1	29	7
	1.08	36	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 (1.09)	32.94 ↑ (29.46)	7.41 ↓ (7.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanelli Scarlets
84.7%

Draw
2.8%

Zebre
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85%

3.1%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanelli Scarlets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Zebre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

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Predictions

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 32:17

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (24 - 0)
2nd Half (12 - 17)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scarlets won 5.

Zebre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Scarlets is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Scarlets won 17 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 552:248. (average 30.7:13.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Scarlets won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 319:112. (average 31.9:11.2).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
14	Scarlets	14	4	1	9	261:347	21
16	Zebre	14	2	0	12	226:429	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanelli Scarlets
United Rugby Championship
13.03.26	Connacht - Llanelli Scarlets	31:14 ✺
27.02.26	Edinburgh - Llanelli Scarlets	24:19 ✺
30.01.26	Benetton Treviso - Llanelli Scarlets	20:20 ✺
24.01.26	Llanelli Scarlets - Ulster	27:22 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
18.01.26	Northampton Saints - Llanelli Scarlets	43:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLTWL
- Zebre Rugby
United Rugby Championship
28.02.26	Munster - Zebre	21:7 ✺
31.01.26	Zebre - Connacht	15:31 ✺
24.01.26	Zebre - Glasgow Warriors	21:26 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
17.01.26	Black Lion - Zebre	14:28 ✺
11.01.26	Zebre - Ospreys	23:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
25.10.24	Llanelli Scarlets - Zebre	30:8
17.05.24	Zebre - Llanelli Scarlets	18:32
15.10.22	Llanelli Scarlets - Zebre	36:12
26.03.22	Zebre - Llanelli Scarlets	24:41
08.11.20	Llanelli Scarlets - Zebre	18:17
12.10.19	Llanelli Scarlets - Zebre	54:10
13.04.19	Llanelli Scarlets - Zebre	42:0

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