Match Info

Date: 21 October 2022, Friday

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	Sportsnet
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	London Irish		Gloucester

	1	X	2
	1.83	19	2.05
	1.83	17	2
	1.72	23	2.18
	1.81	21	2.08
	1.95	17	1.91
	1.81	26	2.07	Watch
	1.8	20	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.02)	20.43 ↑ (18.67)	2.05 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

London Irish
50.6%

Draw
4.5%

Gloucester
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

4.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

4.8%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

London Irish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in London Irish's performance.

Gloucester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gloucester might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for London Irish than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with London Irish that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gloucester could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

London Irish - Gloucester Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. London Irish will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Gloucester will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:26

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches London Irish won 1.

Recent matches London Irish is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gloucester is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

London Irish could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 19 head-to-head matches London Irish won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 399-566.

Including matches at home between the teams London Irish won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 192-205.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- London Irish
English Premiership Rugby Cup
17.10.22	Saracens - London Irish	26:43 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
14.10.22	Sale Sharks - London Irish	37:14 ✺
01.10.22	London Irish - Bath	47:38 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
27.09.22	London Irish - Northampton Saints	28:26 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
24.09.22	Bristol Rugby - London Irish	40:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWL
- Gloucester Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
15.10.22	Gloucester - Bristol Rugby	31:28 ✺
08.10.22	Bath - Gloucester	17:21 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
28.09.22	Bath - Gloucester	15:29 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
24.09.22	Saracens - Gloucester	41:39 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
21.09.22	Gloucester - Worcester Warriors	49:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
04.02.22	Gloucester - London Irish	24:7
17.10.21	London Irish - Gloucester	25:25
28.05.21	Gloucester - London Irish	30:28
06.02.21	London Irish - Gloucester	32:26
05.09.20	Gloucester - London Irish	36:23
22.02.20	London Irish - Gloucester	24:20
English Premiership Rugby Cup
21.09.19	Gloucester - London Irish	29:49

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