Match Info
Premiership Rugby - Round 4Date: 17 October 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished Location: Kingsholm Stadium (Gloucester) 🌤️ ...Referee: Maxwell-Keys C. (Eng)Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
|---|
 Australia | 05:45 | Stan Sport |
 Czech Republic | 20:45 | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Slovakia | 20:45 | Voyo |
 United Kingdom | 19:45 | Discovery+, FloSports app, TNT Sports 1 |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Gloucester |
|
Bristol Rugby |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.53 |
21 |
2.63 |
|
 |
1.48 |
23 |
2.7 |
|
 |
1.45 |
20 |
2.84 |
 Watch |
 |
1.49 |
25 |
2.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.42) |
22.25 ↑
(20) |
2.73 ↓
(3.03) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 61.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gloucester
62% | Draw
4.1% | Bristol Rugby
33.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Gloucester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Bristol Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloucester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rugby than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol Rugby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Gloucester - Bristol Rugby Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:28 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Knight C.
| 1. Woolmore J.
|
2. Blake S.
| 2. Oghre G.
|
3. Fasogbon A.
| 3. Kloska G.
|
4.  Thomas F.
| 4.  Rubiolo P.
|
5. Alemanno M.
| 5. Batley J.
|
6. Basham J.
| 6.  Luatua S.
|
7.  Venter J. (C)
| 7. Harding F.
|
8.  Bokenham H.
| 8.  Bill
|
9. Englefield C.
| 9.  Marmion K.
|
10. Byrne R.
| 10. Worsley S.
|
11. Thorley O.
| 11. Ravouvou K.
|
12. Llewellyn M.
| 12. Janse van Rensburg B.
|
13. Joseph W.
| 13. Moroni M.
|
14. Loader B.
| 14. Pepper M.
|
15. Atkinson C.
| 15. Elizalde B.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Innard J.
| 16. Thacker H.
|
17. McArthur A.
| 17.  Grahamslaw S.
|
18.  Gotovtsev K.
| 18.  Chawatama L.
|
19. Jordan C.
| 19. Dun J.
|
20. Mann J.
| 20. Owen J.
|
21. Taylor H.
| 21. Grondona B.
|
22. Austin M.
| 22. Lennon O.
|
23. Edwards-Giraud J.
| 23.  Fricker T.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Skivington G.
| . Lam P.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (20 - 21)
- 4', Worsley S. (Try),
- 5', Worsley S. (Conversion Goal),
- 5', Thorley O. ↓, Edwards-Giraud J. ↑,
- 10', Byrne R. (Penalty Goal),
- 16', Alemanno M. (Try),
- 17', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
- 24', Oghre G. (Try),
- 25', Worsley S. (Conversion Goal),
- 27', Harding F. (Try),
- 28', Worsley S. (Conversion Goal),
- 33', Pepper M. ↓, Fricker T. ↑,
- 34', Blake S. (Try),
- 35', Byrne R. (Missed Conversion),
- 36', Edwards-Giraud J. (Try),
- 37', Byrne R. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (14 - 28)
- 41', Loader B. ↓, Austin M. ↑,
- 41', Luatua S. ↓, Dun J. ↑,
- 45', Byrne R. (Missed Penalty),
- 52', Oghre G. (Try),
- 53', Worsley S. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Alemanno M. ↓, Jordan C. ↑,
- 55', Kloska G. ↓, Chawatama L. ↑,
- 58', Joseph W. (Try),
- 59', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Fasogbon A. ↓, Gotovtsev K. ↑,
- 60', Oghre G. ↓, Thacker H. ↑,
- 62', Bill (Try),
- 63', Worsley S. (Conversion Goal),
- 64', Batley J. ↓, Owen J. ↑,
- 66', Blake S. ↓, Innard J. ↑,
- 66', Bokenham H. ↓, Mann J. ↑,
- 68', Venter J. (Try),
- 69', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
- 71', Ravouvou K. (Try),
- 72', Worsley S. (Conversion Goal),
- 76', Ravouvou K. (Try),
- 77', Worsley S. (Conversion Goal),
- 77', Bill ↓, Grondona B. ↑,
- 77', Woolmore J. ↓, Grahamslaw S. ↑,
- 78', Knight C. ↓, McArthur A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gloucester won 2.Gloucester is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Bristol has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). Gloucester is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gloucester won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 537:562. (average 26.9:28.1).Including home matches between the teams, Gloucester won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 273:234. (average 30.3:26).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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