Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIERSHIP RUGBY - ROUND 21

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Woodthorpe A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	London Irish		Northampton Saints

	1	X	2
	1.53	21	2.6
	1.52	26	2.55
	1.57	21	2.5
	1.57	28	2.49	Watch
	1.53	24	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)	24 ↑ (23.5)	2.54 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

London Irish
59.8%

Draw
3.8%

Northampton Saints
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

3.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

3.9%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

London Irish has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Northampton Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for London Irish than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Saints than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

London Irish - Northampton Saints Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:26

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches London Irish won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Northampton Saints could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

London Irish will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's London Irish to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 21 head-to-head matches London Irish won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 409-568.

Including matches at home between the teams London Irish won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 216-270.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- London Irish
English Premiership Rugby Cup
19.03.23	London Irish - Exeter Chiefs	20:24 OT ✺
English Premiership Rugby
12.03.23	London Irish - Sale Sharks	36:18 ✺
05.03.23	Newcastle Red Bulls - London Irish	19:34 ✺
25.02.23	London Irish - Leicester Tigers	22:25 ✺
18.02.23	Bath - London Irish	10:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLW
- Northampton Saints
English Premiership Rugby
10.03.23	Northampton Saints - Bath	45:26 ✺
03.03.23	Bristol Rugby - Northampton Saints	62:8 ✺
25.02.23	Northampton Saints - Gloucester	41:34 ✺
18.02.23	Northampton Saints - Sale Sharks	38:34 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
10.02.23	London Irish - Northampton Saints	30:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby Cup
10.02.23	London Irish - Northampton Saints	30:18
27.09.22	London Irish - Northampton Saints	28:26
English Premiership Rugby
17.09.22	Northampton Saints - London Irish	38:22
26.03.22	London Irish - Northampton Saints	22:42
English Premiership Rugby Cup
13.11.21	Northampton Saints - London Irish	26:36
English Premiership Rugby
02.10.21	Northampton Saints - London Irish	23:21
16.04.21	Northampton Saints - London Irish	44:26

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