Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIERSHIP RUGBY - ROUND 23

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday

Location: StoneX Stadium (London)

Referee: Leal A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Saracens		London Irish

	1	X	2
	1.33	23	3.4
	1.27	30	3.7
	1.33	21	3.4
	1.36	30	3.28	Watch
	1.34	21	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.32)	25 ↑ (23)	3.44 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Saracens
69.5%

Draw
3.7%

London Irish
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

3.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saracens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

London Irish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saracens than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saracens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for London Irish than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Saracens - London Irish Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:26

#ad

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saracens won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

London Irish could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently London Irish have a series of home games.

In this match Saracens is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Saracens won 11 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 545-385.

Including matches at home between the teams Saracens won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 264-172.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saracens FC
English Premiership Rugby
15.04.23	Northampton Saints - Saracens	38:29 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
09.04.23	La Rochelle - Saracens	24:10 ✺
02.04.23	Saracens - Ospreys	35:20 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
25.03.23	Saracens - Harlequins	36:24 ✺
05.03.23	Sale Sharks - Saracens	35:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL
- London Irish
English Premiership Rugby
25.03.23	London Irish - Northampton Saints	37:22 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
19.03.23	London Irish - Exeter Chiefs	20:24 OT ✺
English Premiership Rugby
12.03.23	London Irish - Sale Sharks	36:18 ✺
05.03.23	Newcastle Red Bulls - London Irish	19:34 ✺
25.02.23	London Irish - Leicester Tigers	22:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
23.12.22	London Irish - Saracens	29:20
English Premiership Rugby Cup
17.10.22	Saracens - London Irish	26:43
English Premiership Rugby
19.02.22	London Irish - Saracens	32:30
Challenge Cup Rugby
23.01.22	Saracens - London Irish	45:24
English Premiership Rugby Cup
19.11.21	London Irish - Saracens	29:20
English Premiership Rugby
06.11.21	Saracens - London Irish	34:34
31.08.20	London Irish - Saracens	12:40

Upcoming Matches