Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIERSHIP RUGBY - ROUND 16

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Carley M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	Sportsnet
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	London Irish		Harlequins

	1	X	2
	1.5	21	2.7
	1.55	25	2.5
	1.54	23	2.6
	1.5	21	2.62
	1.55	26	2.56	Watch
	1.52	23	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.94)	23.17 ↑ (18)	2.59 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

London Irish
60.4%

Draw
4%

Harlequins
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

5.1%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

4.8%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

London Irish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in London Irish's performance.

Harlequins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Harlequins might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for London Irish than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with London Irish that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harlequins than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harlequins could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

London Irish - Harlequins Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. London Irish will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Harlequins will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for London Irish: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:24

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).

Last 5 head-to-head matches London Irish won 3.

Recent matches London Irish is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Harlequins is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

London Irish could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

London Irish will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's London Irish to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 20 head-to-head matches London Irish won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 440-533.

Including matches at home between the teams London Irish won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 227-269.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- London Irish
European Rugby Champions Cup
22.01.23	Montpellier - London Irish	21:21 ✺
15.01.23	London Irish - Stormers	14:28 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
08.01.23	London Irish - Bristol Rugby	23:7 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
04.01.23	London Irish - Bath	26:7 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
31.12.22	Gloucester - London Irish	8:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TLWWL
- Harlequin FC
European Rugby Champions Cup
21.01.23	Harlequins - Sharks	39:29 ✺
15.01.23	Racing Métro - Harlequins	30:29 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
08.01.23	Harlequins - Sale Sharks	16:24 ✺
01.01.23	Northampton Saints - Harlequins	46:17 ✺
27.12.22	Harlequins - Bristol Rugby	12:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
29.10.22	Harlequins - London Irish	26:24
English Premiership Rugby Cup
21.09.22	Harlequins - London Irish	26:30
English Premiership Rugby
03.04.22	London Irish - Harlequins	14:41
English Premiership Rugby Cup
18.03.22	London Irish - Harlequins	34:19
English Premiership Rugby
27.11.21	Harlequins - London Irish	19:22
24.04.21	London Irish - Harlequins	21:25
10.01.21	Harlequins - London Irish	27:27

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