Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIERSHIP RUGBY - ROUND 15

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Ridley C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	Sportsnet


	London Irish		Bristol Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.73	21	2.2
	1.75	23	2.12
	1.73	21	2.2
	1.67	19	2.25
	1.76	25	2.15	Watch
	1.72	21	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.54)	21.67 ↓ (23.67)	2.18 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

London Irish
53.5%

Draw
4.3%

Bristol Rugby
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

3.9%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

London Irish has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that London Irish's form might have worsened.

Bristol Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bristol Rugby's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for London Irish than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for London Irish, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rugby than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol Rugby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

London Irish - Bristol Rugby Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. London Irish will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Bristol will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for London Irish: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:23

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches London Irish won 1.

Recent matches London Irish is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bristol is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

London Irish could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

London Irish will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's London Irish to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 8 head-to-head matches London Irish won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 213-258.

Including matches at home between the teams London Irish won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 74-115.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- London Irish
English Premiership Rugby Cup
04.01.23	London Irish - Bath	26:7 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
31.12.22	Gloucester - London Irish	8:6 ✺
23.12.22	London Irish - Saracens	29:20 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.12.22	Stormers - London Irish	34:14 ✺
09.12.22	London Irish - Montpellier	27:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLL
- Bristol Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
27.12.22	Harlequins - Bristol Rugby	12:15 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
18.12.22	Bristol Rugby - Zebre	35:19 ✺
09.12.22	Perpignan - Bristol Rugby	5:19 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
03.12.22	Bristol Rugby - Leicester Tigers	26:26 ✺
26.11.22	Sale Sharks - Bristol Rugby	25:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
24.09.22	Bristol Rugby - London Irish	40:36
11.02.22	Bristol Rugby - London Irish	32:49
30.10.21	London Irish - Bristol Rugby	33:45
12.06.21	Bristol Rugby - London Irish	Canceled
21.02.21	London Irish - Bristol Rugby	34:34
04.10.20	London Irish - Bristol Rugby	7:36
01.12.19	Bristol Rugby - London Irish	27:27

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