Match Info

Top 14 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: GGL Stadium (Montpellier)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Montpellier		Lyon

	1	X	2
	1.22	26	4.33
	1.24	26	4.1
	1.12	25.55	6.58	Watch
	1.3	29	3.55
	1.21	26	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.24)	26.51 ↑ (21.5)	4.63 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier
76.4%

Draw
3.5%

Lyon
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.2%

4.3%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Montpellier - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -12.5 - Montpellier (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:21

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Erdocio B.	1. Rey J.
2. Uelese J.	2. Marchand G.
3. Japaridze L.	3. Aptsiauri I.
4. Beard A.	4. William T.
5. Duguid T.	5. Guillard M.
6. Nouchi L.	6. Cretin D.
7. Becognee A.	7. Shvangiradze B.
8. Vunipola V.	8. Simmonds S.
9. Bernadet A.	9. Gonzalez E.
10. Miotti H.	10. Berdeu L.
11. Tambwe M.	11. Ioane M.
12. Piccardo J.	12. Regard T.
13. Vincent A.	13. Parisien A.
14. Ngandebe G.	14. Wainiqolo J.
15. Banks T.	15. Rattez V.
Substitutes
16. Tolofua C.	16. Sarragallet M.
17. Forletta E.	17. Kaabeche H.
18. Tauleigne M.	18. Geraci K.
19. Masibaka A.	19. Botha A.
20. Vincent T.	20. Cassang C.
21. Rates M.	21. Lorre G.
22. Darmon T.	22. Saginadze L.
23. Haouas M.	23. Maalo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (20 - 3)
5', Nouchi L. (Try),
5', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
16', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
17', Berdeu L. (Penalty Goal),
22', Piccardo J. (Try),
22', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
28', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (15 - 10)
44', Uelese J. (Try),
45', Miotti H. (Missed Conversion),
61', Tambwe M. (Try),
61', Miotti H. (Missed Conversion),
62', Wainiqolo J. (Try),
69', Ioane M. (Try),
73', Rates M. (Try),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Montpellier is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 488:482. (average 24.4:24.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 330:208. (average 30:18.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier Hérault RC
French Top 14
11.10.25	Racing Métro - Montpellier	32:25 ✺
04.10.25	Montpellier - La Rochelle	37:13 ✺
27.09.25	Montauban - Montpellier	22:22 ✺
20.09.25	Montpellier - Toulouse	44:14 ✺
13.09.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Montpellier	26:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTWL
- Lyon OU
French Top 14
11.10.25	Lyon - Perpignan	44:19 ✺
04.10.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Lyon	32:20 ✺
27.09.25	Section Paloise - Lyon	40:15 ✺
20.09.25	Lyon - Stade Français	42:37 ✺
13.09.25	Montauban - Lyon	18:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
19.04.25	Lyon - Montpellier	32:23
07.09.24	Montpellier - Lyon	22:26
01.06.24	Montpellier - Lyon	41:19
30.12.23	Lyon - Montpellier	20:18
18.02.23	Lyon - Montpellier	31:21
15.10.22	Montpellier - Lyon	26:33
30.04.22	Lyon - Montpellier	43:20

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