Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 16

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Cape Town Stadium (Cape Town)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Stormers		Glasgow Warriors

	1	X	2
	1.36	23	3.2
	1.37	22	3.2
	1.36	22.64	3.38	Watch
	1.33	26	3.4
	1.37	19	3.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 (1.36)	22.53 ↓ (22.64)	3.32 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stormers
68%

Draw
4.1%

Glasgow Warriors
27.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.4%

4.1%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stormers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Glasgow Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stormers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glasgow Warriors than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Stormers - Glasgow Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (24 - 12)
2nd Half (24 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stormers won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Stormers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Glasgow Warriors has had a series of home games.

In this match, Stormers is considered a favorite.

We predict that Stormers will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Stormers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 103:142. (average 17.2:23.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Stormers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 49:35. (average 24.5:17.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Glasgow Warriors	3	2	1	0	95:72	13
4	Stormers	3	2	0	1	81:54	11

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Stormers: 16.63% Glasgow Warriors: 14.93%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stormers Rugby
United Rugby Championship
18.04.26	Stormers - Connacht	24:33 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
04.04.26	Toulon - Stormers	28:27 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.03.26	Stormers - Edinburgh	33:14 ✺
22.03.26	Stormers - Newport Gwent Dragons	29:21 ✺
14.03.26	Blue Bulls - Stormers	19:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWW
- Glasgow Warriors
United Rugby Championship
18.04.26	Lions - Glasgow Warriors	54:12 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
11.04.26	Glasgow Warriors - Toulon	19:22 ✺
04.04.26	Glasgow Warriors - Blue Bulls	25:21 ✺
United Rugby Championship
27.03.26	Glasgow Warriors - Benetton Treviso	31:10 ✺
21.03.26	Glasgow Warriors - Leinster	38:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
30.05.25	Glasgow Warriors - Stormers	36:18
26.10.24	Stormers - Glasgow Warriors	17:28
08.06.24	Glasgow Warriors - Stormers	27:10
03.11.23	Glasgow Warriors - Stormers	20:9
08.01.23	Glasgow Warriors - Stormers	24:17
22.04.22	Stormers - Glasgow Warriors	32:7

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