Match Info
United Rugby Championship - Round 18Date: 16 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Thomond Park (Limerick)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
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Munster |
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Lions |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.33 |
23 |
3.4 |
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1.42 |
23 |
2.9 |
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1.4 |
23 |
2.9 |
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1.35 |
19.3 |
3.45 |
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1.33 |
22 |
3.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↑
(1.33) |
22.06 ↑
(21.75) |
3.21 ↓
(3.41) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Munster
67.2% | Draw
4.2% | Lions
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Munster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Munster than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lions than the current prediction. (-1.7%)Munster - Lions Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:20 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (17 - 14)
- 2nd Half (7 - 3)
Preview
Munster has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Lions is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Recently, Munster has had a series of away games.Recently, Lions has had a series of home games. In this match, Munster is considered a favorite.We predict that Munster will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Munster won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 104:49. (average 26:12.3).Including home matches between the teams, Munster won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 50:13. (average 25:6.5).
Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now
Munster: 5.67%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 3 | Lions | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 62:45 | 9 |
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| 9 | Munster | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 46:48 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| United Rugby Championship | | | 30.11.24 | Munster - Lions | 17:10 | | 27.04.24 | Lions - Munster | 13:33 | | 06.01.23 | Munster - Lions | 33:3 | | 19.03.22 | Lions - Munster | 23:21 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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