Match Info
United Rugby Championship - Round 18Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday ๐ Finished Location: Thomond Park (Limerick) ๐ค๏ธ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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United Kingdom | 19:45 | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
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Munster |
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Lions |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.33 |
23 |
3.4 |
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1.42 |
23 |
2.9 |
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1.4 |
23 |
2.9 |
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1.35 |
19.3 |
3.45 |
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1.33 |
22 |
3.4 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.37 ↑ (1.33) |
22.06 ↑ (21.75) |
3.21 ↓ (3.41) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Munster 67.2% | Draw 4.2% | Lions 28.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Munster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Munster than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lions than the current prediction. (-1.7%)Munster - Lions Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:20 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (17 - 14)
- 2nd Half (7 - 3)
Preview
Munster has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Lions is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).Recently, Munster has had a series of away games.Recently, Lions has had a series of home games. In this match, Munster is considered a favorite.We predict that Munster will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Munster won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 104:49. (average 26:12.3).Including home matches between the teams, Munster won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 50:13. (average 25:6.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 9 | Munster | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 90:98 | 10 |
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| 11 | Lions | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 87:133 | 9 |
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Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now
Munster: 3.21%
Latest Head to Head
| United Rugby Championship | | | 30.11.24 | Munster - Lions | 17:10 | | 27.04.24 | Lions - Munster | 13:33 | | 06.01.23 | Munster - Lions | 33:3 | | 19.03.22 | Lions - Munster | 23:21 |
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