Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 17

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Scotstoun Stadium (Glasgow)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC RED Button, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, BBC Two, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player


	Glasgow Warriors		Cardiff Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.1	34	7
	1.07	35	7.8
	1.1	30.71	7.54	Watch
	1.06	34	8
	1.06	34	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.09)	33.54 ↑ (29.46)	8.07 ↑ (7.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glasgow Warriors
85.8%

Draw
2.8%

Cardiff Rugby
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85%

3.1%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glasgow Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Glasgow Warriors - Cardiff Rugby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:19

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (21 - 7)
2nd Half (19 - 10)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glasgow Warriors won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Cardiff has had a series of away games.

In this match, Glasgow Warriors is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glasgow Warriors won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 598:394. (average 29.9:19.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Glasgow Warriors won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 298:166. (average 29.8:16.6).

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Glasgow Warriors: 13.07% Cardiff Rugby: 0.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Cardiff Rugby	2	2	0	0	61:42	9
5	Glasgow Warriors	2	1	1	0	59:53	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glasgow Warriors
United Rugby Championship
25.04.26	Stormers - Glasgow Warriors	48:12 ✺
18.04.26	Lions - Glasgow Warriors	54:12 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
11.04.26	Glasgow Warriors - Toulon	19:22 ✺
04.04.26	Glasgow Warriors - Blue Bulls	25:21 ✺
United Rugby Championship
27.03.26	Glasgow Warriors - Benetton Treviso	31:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWW
- Cardiff Rugby
United Rugby Championship
24.04.26	Cardiff Rugby - Ospreys	24:21 ✺
18.04.26	Llanelli Scarlets - Cardiff Rugby	24:28 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
04.04.26	Benetton Treviso - Cardiff Rugby	38:35 ✺
United Rugby Championship
27.03.26	Sharks - Cardiff Rugby	21:15 ✺
20.03.26	Blue Bulls - Cardiff Rugby	40:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
04.10.24	Cardiff Rugby - Glasgow Warriors	36:52
22.03.24	Glasgow Warriors - Cardiff Rugby	17:13
23.09.22	Glasgow Warriors - Cardiff Rugby	52:24
26.03.22	Cardiff Rugby - Glasgow Warriors	32:28
29.11.20	Cardiff Rugby - Glasgow Warriors	10:19
12.10.19	Glasgow Warriors - Cardiff Rugby	17:13
16.02.19	Cardiff Rugby - Glasgow Warriors	34:38

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