Match Info

Date: 28 January 2022, Friday


	Nevers		Aviron Bayonnais

	1	X	2
	1.5	21	2.55
	1.53	23	2.5
	1.52	20	2.55
	1.53	19	2.6
	1.55	26	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.78)	21.8 ↓ (27)	2.54 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nevers
59.9%

Draw
4.2%

Aviron Bayonnais
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

3.4%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

3.3%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nevers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nevers's performance.

Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aviron Bayonnais might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nevers than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nevers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aviron Bayonnais than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aviron Bayonnais could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Nevers - Aviron Bayonnais Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nevers will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Bayonne will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayonne: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:20

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Preview

Recent matches Nevers is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bayonne is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bayonne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nevers will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Nevers won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 137-135.

Including matches at home between the teams Nevers won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 40-45.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USO Nevers
French Pro D2
21.01.22	Oyonnax Rugby - Nevers	19:8 ✺
13.01.22	Nevers - Mont-De-Marsan	27:6 ✺
07.01.22	Vannes - Nevers	35:23 ✺
17.12.21	Carcassonne - Nevers	26:25 ✺
10.12.21	Nevers - Agen	41:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW
- Aviron Bayonnais Rudby
French Pro D2
21.01.22	Aviron Bayonnais - FC Grenoble	35:37 ✺
14.01.22	Aviron Bayonnais - Stade Aurillacois	31:6 ✺
06.01.22	Agen - Aviron Bayonnais	16:16 ✺
17.12.21	Rouen Normandie - Aviron Bayonnais	27:28 ✺
12.12.21	Aviron Bayonnais - Montauban	41:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
17.09.21	Aviron Bayonnais - Nevers	23:23
11.05.19	Aviron Bayonnais - Nevers	32:26
17.01.19	Nevers - Aviron Bayonnais	23:17
05.10.18	Aviron Bayonnais - Nevers	26:21
09.03.18	Aviron Bayonnais - Nevers	9:27
03.12.17	Nevers - Aviron Bayonnais	17:28

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