Match Info

EUROPE: CHALLENGE CUP - ROUND 3

Date: 12 January 2024, Friday

Location: Kingston Park (Newcastle)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Newcastle Red Bulls		Benetton Treviso

	1	X	2
	3.1	21	1.4
	2.88	21	1.4
				Watch
	3.2	21	1.36
	3.43	20	1.34
	3.2	23	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.94)	21.2 ↓ (22)	1.37 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Newcastle Red Bulls
29%

Draw
4.3%

Benetton Treviso
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

4.2%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

4.5%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Benetton Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benetton Treviso than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benetton Treviso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Newcastle Red Bulls - Benetton Treviso Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Benetton will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:27

#ad

Preview

Newcastle Falcons has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Benetton is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Benetton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Benetton is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Benetton to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Red Bulls
English Premiership Rugby
05.01.24	Newcastle Red Bulls - Harlequins	3:24 ✺
30.12.23	Saracens - Newcastle Red Bulls	37:19 ✺
22.12.23	Newcastle Red Bulls - Bristol Rugby	13:21 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
16.12.23	Lions - Newcastle Red Bulls	35:13 ✺
10.12.23	Newcastle Red Bulls - Montpellier	19:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Benetton Treviso rugby
United Rugby Championship
30.12.23	Benetton Treviso - Zebre	36:14 ✺
23.12.23	Zebre - Benetton Treviso	24:31 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
16.12.23	Benetton Treviso - Perpignan	29:7 ✺
09.12.23	Ospreys - Benetton Treviso	43:34 ✺
United Rugby Championship
02.12.23	Benetton Treviso - Ospreys	18:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches