Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 9

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale di Monigo (Treviso)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Variety 2
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Benetton Treviso		Edinburgh

	1	X	2
	1.33	23	3.5
	1.29	23	3.65
	1.33	20.78	3.64	Watch
	1.36	23	3.25
	1.26	21	4.21
	1.36	26	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.4)	22.8 ↑ (20.8)	3.58 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benetton Treviso
70.1%

Draw
4.1%

Edinburgh
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

4.5%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

4.7%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benetton Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Edinburgh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benetton Treviso than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benetton Treviso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edinburgh than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Benetton Treviso - Edinburgh Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Benetton will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Benetton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:19

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 10)
2nd Half (14 - 5)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benetton won 3.

Benetton is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Edinburgh has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Benetton is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Benetton will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benetton won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 354:493. (average 17.7:24.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Benetton won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 206:180. (average 20.6:18).

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Edinburgh: 1.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Edinburgh	2	2	0	0	51:42	9
12	Benetton	2	0	1	1	38:41	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benetton Treviso rugby
United Rugby Championship
27.12.25	Zebre - Benetton Treviso	23:37 ✺
20.12.25	Benetton Treviso - Zebre	21:15 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
13.12.25	Benetton Treviso - Perpignan	44:31 ✺
06.12.25	Lions - Benetton Treviso	18:26 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.11.25	Ulster - Benetton Treviso	47:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL
- Edinburgh Rugby
United Rugby Championship
27.12.25	Edinburgh - Glasgow Warriors	3:21 ✺
20.12.25	Glasgow Warriors - Edinburgh	24:12 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.25	Castres - Edinburgh	33:0 ✺
07.12.25	Edinburgh - Toulon	33:20 ✺
United Rugby Championship
29.11.25	Edinburgh - Ospreys	19:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
17.10.25	Edinburgh - Benetton Treviso	43:0
22.03.25	Benetton Treviso - Edinburgh	21:18
30.11.24	Edinburgh - Benetton Treviso	50:33
01.06.24	Benetton Treviso - Edinburgh	31:6
24.11.23	Edinburgh - Benetton Treviso	22:24
26.11.22	Benetton Treviso - Edinburgh	24:17
15.10.22	Edinburgh - Benetton Treviso	53:8

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