Match Info
United Rugby Championship - Round 9Date: 1 January 2026, ThursdayLocation: Rodney Parade (Newport)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, URC |
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Newport Gwent Dragons |
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Llanelli Scarlets |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.2 |
21 |
1.73 |
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 |
2.5 |
21 |
1.53 |
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2.43 |
22 |
1.58 |
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2.62 |
22.61 |
1.54 |
 Watch |
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2.38 |
23 |
1.62 |
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2.48 |
19 |
1.64 |
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2.22 |
21 |
1.71 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.3) |
21.37 ↑
(21) |
1.62 ↓
(1.67) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Newport Gwent Dragons
38.5% | Draw
4.3% | Llanelli Scarlets
57.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport Gwent Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Llanelli Scarlets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport Gwent Dragons than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanelli Scarlets than the current prediction. (-2.5%)Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +4.5 - Dragons (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dragons (votes: 1 - 100%).
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 24:27 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (7 - 5)
- 2nd Half (21 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dragons won 2.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. Scarlets is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dragons won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 422:570. (average 21.1:28.5).Including home matches between the teams, Dragons won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 281:326. (average 23.4:27.2).
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Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 14 | Scarlets | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 261:347 | 21 |
| 15 | Dragons | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 274:357 | 21 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| United Rugby Championship | | | 19.04.25 | Newport Gwent Dragons - Llanelli Scarlets | 23:31 | | 01.01.25 | Llanelli Scarlets - Newport Gwent Dragons | 32:15 | | 01.06.24 | Llanelli Scarlets - Newport Gwent Dragons | 32:15 | | 01.01.24 | Newport Gwent Dragons - Llanelli Scarlets | 13:12 | | 22.04.23 | Newport Gwent Dragons - Llanelli Scarlets | 31:14 | | 01.01.23 | Llanelli Scarlets - Newport Gwent Dragons | 33:17 | | 23.04.22 | Newport Gwent Dragons - Llanelli Scarlets | 19:38 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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