Match Info
United Rugby Championship - Round 6Date: 28 November 2025, FridayLocation: Rodney Parade (Newport)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Ireland | TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland |
United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC |
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Newport Gwent Dragons |
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Leinster |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
10 |
51 |
1.04 |
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 |
11 |
40 |
1.03 |
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 |
10.48 |
36.39 |
1.05 |
Watch |
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17 |
50 |
1.03 |
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10 |
51 |
1.04 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
11.7 ↑ (10.48) |
45.68 ↑ (36.39) |
1.04 ↓ (1.05) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-18)
- The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Newport Gwent Dragons 8% | Draw 2% | Leinster 90% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport Gwent Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Leinster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Newport Gwent Dragons - Leinster Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -20.5 - Leinster (1.83) (votes: 5 - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Leinster (votes: 5 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 15:33 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (7 - 5)
- 2nd Half (3 - 19)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dragons won 0. In this match, Leinster is the undisputed favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dragons won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 290:701. (average 14.5:35.1).Including home matches between the teams, Dragons won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 160:285. (average 17.8:31.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| United Rugby Championship | | | 27.09.24 | Leinster - Newport Gwent Dragons | 34:6 | | 12.11.23 | Newport Gwent Dragons - Leinster | 10:33 | | 18.02.23 | Leinster - Newport Gwent Dragons | 43:14 | | 03.10.21 | Newport Gwent Dragons - Leinster | 6:7 | | Pro14 Rainbow Cup | | | 11.06.21 | Leinster - Newport Gwent Dragons | 38:7 | | United Rugby Championship | | | 19.02.21 | Newport Gwent Dragons - Leinster | 29:35 | | 02.10.20 | Leinster - Newport Gwent Dragons | 35:5 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;