Match Info

WORLD: United Rugby Championship - Round 4

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Grandstand ROA
Asia	Premier Sports 1 Asia
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, URC


	Ospreys		Blue Bulls

	1	X	2
	3.1	23	1.4
	3.1	23	1.36
	3.1	23	1.39
	3.22	24.41	1.39	Watch
	3.25	26	1.33
	3.32	21	1.37
	3.1	23	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.19)	23.34 ↑ (21.73)	1.38 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospreys
29.1%

Draw
3.9%

Blue Bulls
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

4.3%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospreys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Blue Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ospreys - Blue Bulls Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Ospreys will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Blue Bulls will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:30

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Tipuric J.	1. Steenekamp G.
1. Thomas G.	2. Grobbelaar J.
2. Lake D.	3. Louw W.
3. Botha T.	4. Vermaak R.
5. Beard A.	5. Nortje R.
6. Ratti J.	7. Louw E.
7. Morgan J.	9. Papier E.
8. Morris M.	10. Chamberlain B.
9. Morgan-Williams R.	11. Arendse K.
10. Edwards D.	12. Kriel D.
11. Conbeer R.	13. Moodie C.
13. Watkin O.	14. de Klerk S.
14. Hopkins I.	15. Le Roux W.
15. Nagy M.	19. Ludwig R.
23. Williams K.	20. Coetzee M.
Substitutes
. Greatbanks W.	. Tshakweni A.
. Walsh J.	. Wiese C.
. Warren B.	8. Hanekom C.
16. Parry S.	16. van der Merwe A.
17. Phillips G.	18. Klopper F.
19. Jones L.	21. Johannes K.
21. Hardy K.	22. Gans S. R.
22. Scully L.	23. Dyantyi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 26)
3', Louw E. (Try),
4', Chamberlain B. (Conversion Goal),
11', Arendse K. (Try),
13', Papier E. (Try),
14', Chamberlain B. (Conversion Goal),
23', Arendse K. (Try),
24', Chamberlain B. (Conversion Goal),
27', Lake D. (Try),
2nd Half (14 - 3)
50', Kriel D. 🟥,
52', Louw E. 🟨,
55', Conbeer R. (Try),
56', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
72', Tshakweni A. 🟨,
77', Chamberlain B. (Penalty Goal),
80', Morris M. (Try),
80', Walsh J. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Recent matches Blue Bulls is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Blue Bulls have a series of home games.

In this match Blue Bulls is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ospreys won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 81:142 (average 27:47.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ospreys won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 31:38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ospreys Premiership Select
United Rugby Championship
05.10.24	Munster - Ospreys	23:0 ✺
28.09.24	Ospreys - Stormers	37:24 ✺
21.09.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Ospreys	23:21 ✺
07.06.24	Munster - Ospreys	23:7 ✺
01.06.24	Cardiff Rugby - Ospreys	22:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW
- Blue Bulls Rugby
United Rugby Championship
05.10.24	Blue Bulls - Ulster	47:19 ✺
28.09.24	Blue Bulls - Edinburgh	22:16 ✺
Currie Cup
14.09.24	Blue Bulls - Sharks	40:40 OT ✺
08.09.24	Sharks - Blue Bulls	24:18 ✺
30.08.24	Blue Bulls - Lions	33:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
27.04.24	Blue Bulls - Ospreys	61:24
26.11.22	Blue Bulls - Ospreys	43:26
20.05.22	Ospreys - Blue Bulls	31:38

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