Match Info

Top 14 - Round 1

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Aimé Giral (Perpignan)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 3


	Perpignan		Aviron Bayonnais

	1	X	2
	1.57	21	2.5
	1.44	21	2.88
	1.56	22	2.47
	3.43	18.29	1.36	Watch
	1.4	21	2.8
	1.45	41	2.65
	1.44	21	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.45)	23.61 ↑ (21)	2.51 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perpignan
56.3%

Draw
4.2%

Aviron Bayonnais
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

4.4%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perpignan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perpignan's form might have worsened.

Aviron Bayonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aviron Bayonnais's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Perpignan - Aviron Bayonnais Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Perpignan will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:23

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Devaux B.	1. Bordelai A.
2. Lotrian M.	2. Bosch F.
3. Brookes K.	3. Setiano E.
4. Yato P.	4. Iturria A.
5. Warion A.	5. Moon A.
6. Della Schiava N.	6. Bruni R.
7. Diaby M.	7. Capilla E.
8. Velarte L.	8. Habel Kueffner G.
9. Hall J.	9. Machenaud M.
10. McIntyre J.	10. Segonds J.
11. Dubois L.	11. Erbinartegaray A.
12. De La Fuente J.	12. Tuilagi M.
13. Buliruarua E.	13. Martocq G.
14. Joseph J.	14. Spring T.
15. Tedder T.	15. Tiberghien C.
Substitutes
16. Lam S.	16. Martin L.
17. Beria G.	17. Cormenier S.
18. Van Tonder J.	18. Johnson E.
19. Tanguy M.	19. Heguy B.
20. Le Corvec M.	20. Fischer A.
21. Ecochard T.	21. Jantjies H.
22. Paiaaua D.	22. Orabe Y.
23. Roelofse N.	23. Tagi L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 10)
9', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
19', Capilla E. (Try),
19', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
37', Joseph J. (Try),
37', Tedder T. (Conversion Goal),
39', Segonds J. 🟨,
40+1', Buliruarua E. (Try),
40+2', Tedder T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (5 - 16)
43', Tiberghien C. (Penalty Goal),
49', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
59', Bruni R. (Try),
59', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
67', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
73', Paiaaua D. (Try),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perpignan won 3.

Perpignan could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Perpignan won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 346:226. (average 24.7:16.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Perpignan won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 213:85. (average 30.4:12.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA Perpignan
French Top 14
14.06.25	FC Grenoble - Perpignan	11:13 ✺
07.06.25	Perpignan - Toulouse	42:35 ✺
31.05.25	La Rochelle - Perpignan	38:15 ✺
17.05.25	Clermont - Perpignan	31:13 ✺
10.05.25	Perpignan - Stade Français	20:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLW
- Aviron Bayonnais Rudby
French Top 14
20.06.25	Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais	32:25 ✺
13.06.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Clermont	20:3 ✺
07.06.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon	18:10 ✺
31.05.25	Castres - Aviron Bayonnais	33:3 ✺
17.05.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Vannes	38:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
25.01.25	Perpignan - Aviron Bayonnais	16:11
07.09.24	Aviron Bayonnais - Perpignan	21:19
18.05.24	Aviron Bayonnais - Perpignan	23:20
22.12.23	Perpignan - Aviron Bayonnais	36:10
04.03.23	Perpignan - Aviron Bayonnais	34:27
22.10.22	Aviron Bayonnais - Perpignan	24:20
French Pro D2
14.12.17	Aviron Bayonnais - Perpignan	12:30

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