Match Info

Currie Cup - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Mbombela Stadium (Mbombela)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Peru	Disney+
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Pumas		Lions

	1	X	2
	1.4	21	3
	1.49	26	2.6
	1.36	26	3
	1.55	25	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.38)	24.5 ↓ (29)	2.78 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pumas
63.2%

Draw
3.7%

Lions
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

3.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pumas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Pumas - Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:30

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (21 - 21)
2nd Half (14 - 15)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pumas won 2.

Lions may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pumas is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Pumas will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pumas won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 558:640. (average 27.9:32).

Including home matches between the teams, Pumas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 274:289. (average 30.4:32.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pumas
Currie Cup
09.08.25	Blue Bulls - Pumas	7:41 ✺
01.08.25	Cheetahs - Pumas	42:25 ✺
25.07.25	Pumas - Griquas	49:28 ✺
07.09.24	Pumas - Cheetahs	14:41 ✺
01.09.24	Western Province - Pumas	39:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 WLWLL
- Lions Rugby
Currie Cup
10.08.25	Boland Cavaliers - Lions	29:10 ✺
02.08.25	Lions - Western Province	40:19 ✺
26.07.25	Lions - Sharks	46:5 ✺
United Rugby Championship
17.05.25	Lions - Ospreys	29:28 ✺
11.05.25	Lions - Llanelli Scarlets	19:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Currie Cup
10.08.24	Lions - Pumas	55:12
12.07.24	Pumas - Lions	21:75
28.04.23	Lions - Pumas	26:10
17.03.23	Pumas - Lions	34:27
06.04.22	Pumas - Lions	45:10
19.01.22	Lions - Pumas	9:50
30.07.21	Lions - Pumas	33:36

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