Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 4

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Ellis Park Stadium (Johannesburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Lions		Llanelli Scarlets

	1	X	2
	1.1	34	7
	1.14	29	5.6
	1.27	20.79	4.02	Watch
	1.18	23	5.03
	1.14	36	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.18)	28.56 ↑ (27.67)	5.46 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lions
79.7%

Draw
3.3%

Llanelli Scarlets
17%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

78.2%

3.3%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Llanelli Scarlets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Lions - Llanelli Scarlets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:19

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 3)
2nd Half (24 - 15)

Preview

Recent form of Lions has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Scarlets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lions is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lions won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 88:106. (average 22:26.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 51:47. (average 25.5:23.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lions Rugby
United Rugby Championship
11.10.25	Benetton Treviso - Lions	41:15 ✺
05.10.25	Zebre - Lions	22:20 ✺
27.09.25	Cardiff Rugby - Lions	33:20 ✺
Currie Cup
20.09.25	Lions - Griquas	25:27 ✺
13.09.25	Lions - Boland Cavaliers	67:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- Llanelli Scarlets
United Rugby Championship
10.10.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Stormers	0:34 ✺
27.09.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Munster	21:34 ✺
31.05.25	Leinster - Llanelli Scarlets	33:21 ✺
17.05.25	Sharks - Llanelli Scarlets	12:3 ✺
11.05.25	Lions - Llanelli Scarlets	19:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
11.05.25	Lions - Llanelli Scarlets	19:32
11.11.23	Llanelli Scarlets - Lions	23:24
04.12.22	Lions - Llanelli Scarlets	32:15
01.10.21	Llanelli Scarlets - Lions	36:13

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lions Rugby
United Rugby Championship
23.10.26	Edinburgh - Lions	✺
- Llanelli Scarlets
United Rugby Championship
24.10.26	Stormers - Llanelli Scarlets	✺

Lions - Llanelli Scarlets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide