Match Info

WORLD: Olympic Games 7's - 9th-12th places - 9th place

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished 📅 Remind Me

Location: Stade de France (Paris - Saint-Denis) 🌤️ Weather


	Samoa 7s		Kenya 7s

	1	X	2
	1.3	12	4.2
	1.3	18	3.85
	1.3	18.81	4.02	Watch
	1.26	15	4.1
	1.34	21	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.31)	16.96 ↑ (12)	3.93 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 32.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samoa 7s
71.1%

Draw
5.4%

Kenya 7s
23.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.9%

7.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

7.7%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samoa 7s has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Kenya 7s has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samoa 7s than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kenya 7s than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Samoa 7s - Kenya 7s Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:12

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Afa V.	1. Okoth J.
4. Opetai M.	4. Onyala V.
6. Niulevaea T.	6. Wekesa K.
8. Leitufia N.	7. Mboya A. (C)
9. Falaniko F.	9. Asati S.
10. Scanlan P.	11. Odongo P.
12. Apelu Maliko V. (C)	12. Ojwang C.
Substitutes
2. Motuga A.	3. Angeyo G.
3. Lima B.	5. Tanga B.
5. Maiava T.	8. Humwa H.
7. Lalomilo L.	10. Amaitsa N.
11. Rimoni S.	13. Abukuse D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 5)
3', Okoth J. (Try),
2nd Half (5 - 5)
8', Okoth J. (Try),
14+2', (Try),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Samoa won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Samoa is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Samoa won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 400-269.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samoa 7s rugby
Olympic Games 7s Rugby
25.07.24	Samoa 7s - Japan 7s	42:7 ✺
25.07.24	Samoa 7s - Kenya 7s	26:0 ✺
24.07.24	Argentina 7s - Samoa 7s	28:12 ✺
24.07.24	Australia 7s - Samoa 7s	21:14 ✺
Sevens World Series - Spain
02.06.24	USA 7s - Samoa 7s	40:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLL
- Kenya 7s rugby
Olympic Games 7s Rugby
25.07.24	Uruguay 7s - Kenya 7s	14:19 OT ✺
25.07.24	Samoa 7s - Kenya 7s	26:0 ✺
24.07.24	Australia 7s - Kenya 7s	21:7 ✺
24.07.24	Argentina 7s - Kenya 7s	31:12 ✺
Sevens World Series - Spain
02.06.24	Germany 7s - Kenya 7s	15:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games 7s Rugby
25.07.24	Samoa 7s - Kenya 7s	26:0
Sevens World Series - Spain
31.05.24	Samoa 7s - Kenya 7s	12:19
Sevens World Series - France
13.05.23	Samoa 7s - Kenya 7s	17:10
Sevens World Series - Hong Kong 2
01.04.23	Samoa 7s - Kenya 7s	26:12
Sevens World Series - New Zealand
21.01.23	Kenya 7s - Samoa 7s	5:26
20.01.23	Samoa 7s - Kenya 7s	31:5
Sevens World Series - USA
27.08.22	Samoa 7s - Kenya 7s	33:14

Samoa 7s - Kenya 7s: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide