The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saracens 60.3%
Draw 4.2%
Bath 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.6%
4.6%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
4.7%
39.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saracens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Bath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saracens than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Saracens - Bath Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Saracens will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:25
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Carre R.
1. Obano B.
2. Dan T.
2. Dunn T.
3. Riccioni M.
3. du Toit T.
4. McFarland T.
4. Roux Q.
5. Tizard H.
5. Ewels C.
6. Gonzalez J.
6. Bayliss J.
7. Earl B.
7. Reid M.
8. Willis T.
8. Green A.
9. van Zyl I. (C)
9. Spencer B. (C)
10. Farrell O.
10. Russell F.
11. Malins M.
11. Arundell H.
12. Tompkins N.
12. Butt W.
13. Cinti L.
13. Harris C.
14. Caluori N.
14. Cokanasiga J.
15. Daly E.
15. de Glanville T.
Substitutes
16. Hadfield J.
16. Frost D.
18. Street M.
17. van Wyk F.
19. Wilson H.
18. Stuart W.
20. Isiekwe N.
19. Molony R.
21. Bracken C.
20. Hill T.
22. Burke F.
21. Carr-Smith T.
23. Hall A.
22. Ojomoh M.
71. Mawi E.
23. Redpath C.
Coaches
. McCall M.
. Christoffel van Graan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (22 - 17)
2', Malins M. (Try),
3', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
15', Gonzalez J. (Try),
16', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
17', Russell F. (Penalty Goal),
18', Arundell H. (Try),
20', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
20', Willis T. ↓, Isiekwe N. ↑,
32', Malins M. (Try),
36', Farrell O. (Drop Goal),
38', du Toit T. (Try),
39', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (7 - 19)
45', Carre R. ↓, Mawi E. ↑,
49', Butt W. (Try),
53', Green A. (Try),
55', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
57', Dan T. ↓, Hadfield J. ↑,
57', Riccioni M. ↓, Street M. ↑,
59', Gonzalez J. (Try),
62', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
62', Ewels C. ↓, Molony R. ↑,
62', Green A. ↓, Hill T. ↑,
62', Harris C. ↓, Ojomoh M. ↑,
62', du Toit T. ↓, Stuart W. ↑,
64', Dunn T. ↓, van Wyk F. ↑,
68', Caluori N. ↓, Hall A. ↑,
70', Cinti L. ↓, Burke F. ↑,
72', Gonzalez J. ↓, Wilson H. ↑,
76', Arundell H. (Try),
76', Spencer B. ↓, Carr-Smith T. ↑,
78', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Bath may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Saracens could have a small edge in this match.
We predict that Saracens will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 592:441. (average 29.6:22.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Saracens won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 343:182. (average 34.3:18.2).