Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 1

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: StoneX Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Portugal	Sport TV7
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloRugby.com, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Saracens		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.05	41	9
	1.07	40	7.8
	1.06	34	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↓ (1.13)	38.33 ↑ (31)	8.43 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saracens
86.7%

Draw
2.4%

Clermont
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.2%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saracens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saracens's performance.

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Saracens - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Saracens will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saracens (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:23

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carre R.	1. Lotrian S.
2. Hadfield J.	2. Fourcade E.
3. Street M.	3. Ojovan C.
4. Isiekwe N.	4. Lanen T.
5. Tizard H.	5. Ratuva T.
6. McFarland T.	6. Chalus A.
7. Willis T.	7. Hemery A.
8. Christie A.	8. Tolofua S.
9. van Zyl I. (C)	9. Jauneau B. (C)
10. Farrell O.	10. Plummer H.
11. Malins M.	11. Delguy B.
12. Tompkins N.	12. Simone I.
13. Cinti L.	13. Newsome A.
14. Caluori N.	14. Tauzin L.
15. Daly E.	15. Guillaud A.
Substitutes
16. Dan T.	16. Belkessa T.
17. Mawi E.	17. Frisach M.
18. Riccioni M.	18. Dzmanashvili G.
19. Wilson H.	19. Simmons R.
20. Michelow N.	20. Michaux L.
21. Bracken C.	21. Bezy S.
22. Burke F.	22. Moala G.
23. Segun R.	23. Dessaigne L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (26 - 0)
10', Cinti L. (Try),
11', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
15', Hemery A. 🟨,
31', Cinti L. (Try),
32', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
37', Malins M. (Try),
40+1', Hadfield J. (Try),
40+2', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (21 - 10)
43', Guillaud A. (Try),
45', Caluori N. (Try),
46', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
71', Plummer H. (Try),
74', Tizard H. (Try),
74', Burke F. (Conversion Goal),
79', Dan T. (Try),
79', Burke F. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Saracens is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 124:124. (average 17.7:17.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Saracens won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 60:52. (average 20:17.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saracens FC
English Premiership Rugby
30.11.25	Saracens - Bath	29:36 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
22.11.25	Saracens - Newcastle Red Bulls	43:0 ✺
16.11.25	Harlequins - Saracens	21:46 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
24.10.25	Northampton Saints - Saracens	43:31 ✺
18.10.25	Saracens - Sale Sharks	65:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLW
- ASM Clermont Auvergne
French Top 14
29.11.25	Clermont - Stade Français	36:32 ✺
22.11.25	Lyon - Clermont	43:24 ✺
01.11.25	Montpellier - Clermont	7:9 ✺
25.10.25	Clermont - Castres	63:14 ✺
18.10.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Clermont	44:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
17.12.17	Clermont - Saracens	24:21
11.12.17	Saracens - Clermont	14:46
13.05.17	Clermont - Saracens	17:28
18.04.15	Clermont - Saracens	13:9
25.01.15	Clermont - Saracens	18:6
Heineken Cup
26.04.14	Saracens - Clermont	46:6
Six Nations
08.04.12	Saracens - Clermont	N/A

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