Match Info

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stade du Hameau (Pau)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Section Paloise		Bath

	1	X	2
	3.5	23	1.3
	3	26	1.36
	3.5	27	1.34
	3.41	22.41	1.36
	3	23	1.4
	3.63	21	1.31
	3.5	27	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.84)	24.2 ↑ (22.75)	1.34 ↑ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Section Paloise
27.5%

Draw
3.8%

Bath
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

4.1%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Bath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Section Paloise - Bath Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:33

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Calles I.	1. Obano B.
2. Delhommel Y.	2. Dunn T.
3. Williams H.	3. Griffin A.
4. Jolmes T.	4. Roux Q.
5. Tagitagivalu L.	5. Molony R.
6. Kpoku J.	6. Bayliss J.
7. Hamonou T.	7. Underhill S.
8. Tuipulotu C.	8. Reid M.
9. Souverbie T.	9. Spencer B. (C)
10. Desperes A.	10. Donoghue C.
11. Grandidier A.	11. Muir W.
12. Brau-Boirie F.	12. Butt W.
13. Klemenczak O.	13. Ojomoh M.
14. Roudil E. (C)	14. Cokanasiga J.
15. Luc A.	15. McConnochie R.
Substitutes
16. Ruffenach R.	16. Tuipulotu K.
17. Parrou H.	17. van Wyk F.
18. Tokolahi S.	18. Verden K.
19. Picquette R.	19. Richards E.
20. Maximin J.	20. Hill T.
21. Hewat R.	22. Bailey O.
22. Robson D.	23. Coetzee J.
23. Manu T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 28)
2', Muir W. (Try),
3', Donoghue C. (Conversion Goal),
20', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
22', Cokanasiga J. (Try),
23', Donoghue C. (Conversion Goal),
27', Tuipulotu C. (Try),
28', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
30', Obano B. (Try),
31', Donoghue C. (Conversion Goal),
35', Bayliss J. (Try),
36', Donoghue C. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 21)
43', Dunn T. (Try),
44', Donoghue C. (Conversion Goal),
56', Underhill S. 🟥,
57', McConnochie R. (Try),
58', Donoghue C. (Conversion Goal),
62', Brau-Boirie F. (Try),
62', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
69', Brau-Boirie F. (Try),
69', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
72', Reid M. (Try),
73', Donoghue C. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Recent matches Section Paloise is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bath in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Bath is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Section Paloise won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 32:94 (average 16:47).

Including matches at home between the teams Section Paloise won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Section Paloise
French Top 14
29.03.25	Toulouse - Section Paloise	55:10 ✺
22.03.25	Section Paloise - Montpellier	40:38 ✺
01.03.25	Racing Métro - Section Paloise	29:47 ✺
22.02.25	Section Paloise - Perpignan	23:6 ✺
15.02.25	Stade Français - Section Paloise	39:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWL
- Bath Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
29.03.25	Bath - Harlequins	47:28 ✺
23.03.25	Bath - Gloucester	42:26 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
16.03.25	Exeter Chiefs - Bath	14:48 ✺
07.03.25	Newcastle Red Bulls - Bath	29:41 ✺
28.02.25	Bath - Harlequins	39:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
21.01.17	Bath - Section Paloise	69:10
15.10.16	Section Paloise - Bath	22:25

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