Match Info

Premiership Rugby - Round 7

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kingston Park (Newcastle) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Smales H. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	12:00	Disney+
Asia	—	Premier Sports Rugby Asia
Australia	02:00	Stan Sport
Brazil	12:00	Disney+
Chile	12:00	Disney+
Colombia	10:00	Disney+
Czech Republic	16:00	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Malta	16:00	TSN Malta 1
Mexico	09:00	Disney+
New Zealand	04:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 4
Peru	10:00	Disney+
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
United Kingdom	15:00	Discovery+, FloRugby.com, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	12:00	Disney+
Venezuela	11:00	Disney+


	Newcastle Red Bulls		Bath

	1	X	2
	7.5	34	1.08
	7.6	40	1.07
	7.83	29.46	1.09	Watch
	7.5	29	1.08
	9.5	46	1.07	Watch
	8	31	1.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.99 ↑ (7.83)	34.91 ↑ (29.46)	1.08 ↓ (1.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Red Bulls
11.6%

Draw
2.6%

Bath
85.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

11.8%

3.1%

85%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Bath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Newcastle Red Bulls - Bath Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bath will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:37

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brocklebank A.	1. van Wyk F.
2. McGuigan G.	2. Frost D.
3. McCallum M.	3. Griffin A.
4. Usher O.	4. Richards E.
5. de Chaves S.	5. Molony R.
6. Leatherbarrow O.	6. Bayliss J.
7. Christie T.	7. Staddon E.
8. Mafi A.	8. Reid M.
9. Benitez Cruz S.	9. Carr-Smith T.
10. Connon B.	10. Carreras S.
11. Obatoyinbo E.	11. Hennessey-Booth L.
12. Arnold S.	12. Butt W.
13. Hearle A.	13. Harris C.
14. Spencer O.	14. Cokanasiga J.
15. Grayson E.	15. de Glanville T.
Substitutes
16. Fletcher O.	16. Dunn T.
17. Hancock C.	17. Obano B.
18. Palframan R.	18. du Toit T.
19. Baker F.	19. Hill T.
20. Gordon T.	20. Underhill S.
21. Elliott J.	21. Spencer B.
22. Chamberlain B.	22. Redpath C.
23. Clark M.	23. Barbeary A.
Coaches
. Dickens A.	. Christoffel van Graan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 19)
3', Leatherbarrow O. (Try),
4', Connon B. (Conversion Goal),
11', Frost D. (Try),
12', Carreras S. (Missed Conversion),
22', Frost D. (Try),
23', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),
26', Mafi A. (Try),
27', Connon B. (Conversion Goal),
31', Griffin A. (Try),
32', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 31)
42', van Wyk F. (Try),
43', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),
52', Arnold S. 🟨,
52', Butt W. (Try),
53', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),
53', McGuigan G. ↓, Fletcher O. ↑,
53', McCallum M. ↓, Palframan R. ↑,
53', Mafi A. ↓, Gordon T. ↑,
54', Frost D. ↓, Dunn T. ↑,
54', Griffin A. ↓, du Toit T. ↑,
54', Carr-Smith T. ↓, Spencer B. ↑,
54', van Wyk F. ↓, Obano B. ↑,
54', Hennessey-Booth L. ↓, Redpath C. ↑,
54', Richards E. ↓, Hill T. ↑,
54', Staddon E. ↓, Underhill S. ↑,
54', Bayliss J. ↓, Barbeary A. ↑,
63', de Chaves S. ↓, Baker F. ↑,
63', Fletcher O. ↓, McGuigan G. ↑,
66', de Glanville T. (Try),
67', Carreras S. (Missed Conversion),
68', Spencer B. (Try),
69', Carreras S. (Missed Conversion),
69', Arnold S. ↓, Clark M. ↑,
69', Brocklebank A. ↓, Hancock C. ↑,
70', McGuigan G. ↓, Fletcher O. ↑,
75', Grayson E. ↓, Chamberlain B. ↑,
78', Hill T. (Try),
79', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bath is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 381:537. (average 19.1:26.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 222:258. (average 20.2:23.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Red Bulls
Challenge Cup Rugby
13.12.25	Newcastle Red Bulls - Lions	14:10 ✺
06.12.25	Lyon - Newcastle Red Bulls	14:23 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
28.11.25	Newcastle Red Bulls - Leicester Tigers	17:39 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
22.11.25	Saracens - Newcastle Red Bulls	43:0 ✺
15.11.25	Northampton Saints - Newcastle Red Bulls	14:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 WWLLW
- Bath Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.25	Toulon - Bath	45:34 ✺
06.12.25	Bath - Munster	40:14 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
30.11.25	Saracens - Bath	29:36 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
22.11.25	Bath - Sale Sharks	20:0 ✺
14.11.25	Gloucester - Bath	19:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
26.04.25	Bath - Newcastle Red Bulls	55:19
English Premiership Rugby Cup
07.03.25	Newcastle Red Bulls - Bath	29:41
English Premiership Rugby
21.12.24	Newcastle Red Bulls - Bath	15:40
10.05.24	Newcastle Red Bulls - Bath	17:28
14.10.23	Bath - Newcastle Red Bulls	34:26
31.12.22	Bath - Newcastle Red Bulls	24:16
05.11.22	Newcastle Red Bulls - Bath	10:17

Newcastle Red Bulls - Bath: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide