Match Info

Currie Cup - Round 6

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Kings Park Stadium (Durban)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5
World	RugbyPass TV


	Sharks		Lions

	1	X	2
	2.09	27	1.74
	2.1	21	1.73	Watch
	2.03	25	1.7
	2.1	19	1.73
	2.09	27	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 (2.08)	23.8 ↓ (24.76)	1.73 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sharks
43.6%

Draw
3.8%

Lions
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

3.7%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

4.1%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sharks than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sharks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lions than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sharks - Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:28

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 10)
2nd Half (17 - 7)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sharks won 1.

Sharks has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lions has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sharks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sharks won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 557:508. (average 27.9:25.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sharks won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 225:170. (average 28.1:21.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sharks Rugby
Currie Cup
14.08.26	Griquas - Sharks	55:21 ✺
Friendly International Rugby Union
11.08.26	Sharks - New Zealand	0:54 ✺
Currie Cup
08.08.26	Sharks - Boland Cavaliers	19:12 ✺
01.08.26	Stormers XXIII - Sharks	36:28 ✺
24.07.26	Cheetahs - Sharks	43:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- Lions Rugby
Currie Cup
14.08.26	Lions - Boland Cavaliers	29:38 ✺
08.08.26	Griquas - Lions	31:19 ✺
01.08.26	Lions - Blue Bulls	42:19 ✺
25.07.26	Lions - Pumas	52:29 ✺
19.07.26	Cheetahs - Lions	29:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
21.02.26	Lions - Sharks	34:22
03.01.26	Sharks - Lions	22:23
Currie Cup
26.07.25	Lions - Sharks	46:5
United Rugby Championship
08.03.25	Sharks - Lions	25:22
01.03.25	Lions - Sharks	38:14
Currie Cup
21.09.24	Lions - Sharks	14:16
27.07.24	Lions - Sharks	22:35

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