Match Info

Currie Cup - Round 5

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Ellis Park Stadium (Johannesburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
Australia	Stan Sport
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
World	RugbyPass TV


	Lions		Boland Cavaliers

	1	X	2
	1.14	21	6
	1.16	30	5.2
	1.16	28.8	5.45	Watch
	1.15	27.51	4.75
	1.14	26	5.5
	1.16	35	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.23)	28.05 ↑ (23.46)	5.35 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lions
79.6%

Draw
3.3%

Boland Cavaliers
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.2%

3.9%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lions's performance.

Boland Cavaliers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Lions - Boland Cavaliers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 40:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 14)
2nd Half (12 - 24)

Preview

In this match, Lions is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lions won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 137:60. (average 45.7:20).

Including home matches between the teams, Lions won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 127:31. (average 63.5:15.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lions Rugby
Currie Cup
08.08.26	Griquas - Lions	31:19 ✺
01.08.26	Lions - Blue Bulls	42:19 ✺
25.07.26	Lions - Pumas	52:29 ✺
19.07.26	Cheetahs - Lions	29:27 ✺
United Rugby Championship
30.05.26	Leinster - Lions	59:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL
- Boland Cavaliers
Currie Cup
08.08.26	Sharks - Boland Cavaliers	19:12 ✺
02.08.26	Boland Cavaliers - Pumas	15:20 ✺
26.07.26	Boland Cavaliers - Stormers XXIII	41:3 ✺
19.07.26	Boland Cavaliers - Blue Bulls	24:10 ✺
13.09.25	Lions - Boland Cavaliers	67:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Currie Cup
13.09.25	Lions - Boland Cavaliers	67:19
10.08.25	Boland Cavaliers - Lions	29:10
26.08.16	Lions - Boland Cavaliers	60:12

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