Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 11

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Kings Park Stadium (Durban)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sharks		Stormers

	1	X	2
	2.2	21	1.73
	2.26	22	1.66
	2.27	20.11	1.71	Watch
	2.2	21	1.73
	2.3	21	1.69
	2.36	21	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.85)	21.02 ↑ (20.13)	1.69 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sharks
40.9%

Draw
4.4%

Stormers
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

4.6%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

4.7%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sharks's form might have worsened.

Stormers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stormers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sharks than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sharks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stormers than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stormers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sharks - Stormers Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Stormers will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 17)
2nd Half (22 - 7)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sharks won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Stormers has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sharks won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 397:394. (average 19.9:19.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sharks won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 220:202. (average 20:18.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Stormers	3	2	0	1	81:54	10
5	Sharks	3	2	0	1	89:83	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sharks Rugby
United Rugby Championship
24.01.26	Stormers - Sharks	19:30 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.01.26	Sharks - Clermont	50:12 ✺
10.01.26	Sale Sharks - Sharks	26:10 ✺
United Rugby Championship
03.01.26	Sharks - Lions	22:23 ✺
20.12.25	Sharks - Blue Bulls	21:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLLW
- Stormers Rugby
United Rugby Championship
24.01.26	Stormers - Sharks	19:30 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.01.26	Stormers - Leicester Tigers	39:26 ✺
11.01.26	Harlequins - Stormers	61:10 ✺
United Rugby Championship
03.01.26	Stormers - Blue Bulls	13:8 ✺
20.12.25	Stormers - Lions	34:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
24.01.26	Stormers - Sharks	19:30
28.12.24	Stormers - Sharks	24:20
30.11.24	Sharks - Stormers	21:15
17.02.24	Sharks - Stormers	21:25
30.12.23	Stormers - Sharks	21:15
04.03.23	Stormers - Sharks	29:23
04.02.23	Sharks - Stormers	19:46

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