Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 4

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Cape Town Stadium (Cape Town)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Premier Sports Rugby Asia
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9
Portugal	Sport TV5
United-kingdom	FloRugby.com, FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player


	Stormers		Leicester Tigers

	1	X	2
	1.07	41	8
	1.08	35	7.8
	1.08	31.18	8.85	Watch
	1.06	34	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↑ (1.03)	35.3 ↓ (41.67)	8.16 ↓ (10.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-20)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stormers
86.1%

Draw
2.6%

Leicester Tigers
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89.2%

2.2%

8.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stormers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Leicester Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Stormers - Leicester Tigers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 64.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 41:21

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mchunu N.	1. Haffar T.
2. Venter A.	2. Blamire J.
3. Fouche N.	3. Hurd W.
4. Schickerling J.	4. Thompson J.
5. Van Heerden R.	5. Wells H.
6. de Villiers P.	6. Moro J.
7. Dixon B.	7. Williams S.
8. Roos E.	8. Cracknell O. (C)
9. Ungerer S.	9. Whiteley T.
10. Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (C)	10. Searle B.
11. Zas L.	11. Hassell-Collins O.
12. Roche J.	12. Woodward J.
13. Hartzenberg S.	13. Wand W.
14. Maart D.	14. Hamer-Webb G.
15. Simelane W.	15. Pearson G.
Substitutes
16. Kotze J.	16. Theobald-Thomas F.
17. Matongo V.	17. van der Flier A.
18. Porthen Z.	18. Loman A.
19. Evans C.	19. Manz T.
20. Theunissen M.	20. Ilione E.
21. Khan I.	21. Allan O.
22. Burger L.	22. Bailey O.
23. Mars J.	23. Crowley R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (15 - 14)
6', Hurd W. 🟨,
8', Roos E. (Try),
8', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
16', Venter A. (Try),
24', Pearson G. (Try),
24', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
27', Wand W. (Try),
27', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
40+2', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (24 - 12)
45', Blamire J. (Try),
46', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
50', Zas L. (Try),
50', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
62', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. 🟨,
68', Schickerling J. (Try),
68', Khan I. (Conversion Goal),
73', Khan I. (Penalty Goal),
74', Manz T. (Try),
80+2', (Try),
80+3', (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Stormers is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Leicester Tigers has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Leicester Tigers has had a series of home games.

In this match, Stormers is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stormers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:35.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stormers Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
11.01.26	Harlequins - Stormers	61:10 ✺
United Rugby Championship
03.01.26	Stormers - Blue Bulls	13:8 ✺
20.12.25	Stormers - Lions	34:27 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
13.12.25	Stormers - La Rochelle	42:21 ✺
05.12.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Stormers	17:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWW
- Leicester Tigers
European Rugby Champions Cup
10.01.26	Leicester Tigers - Aviron Bayonnais	57:14 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
04.01.26	Leicester Tigers - Saracens	36:28 ✺
28.12.25	Exeter Chiefs - Leicester Tigers	24:10 ✺
19.12.25	Leicester Tigers - Gloucester	45:14 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
12.12.25	Leicester Tigers - Leinster	15:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
10.12.23	Leicester Tigers - Stormers	35:26

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