Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 15

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Edinburgh Rugby Stadium (Edinburgh)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Edinburgh		Zebre

	1	X	2
	1.07	41	8
	1.08	35	7.4
	1.1	24.57	8.07	Watch
	1.09	26	7.5
	1.1	23	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↑ (1.06)	29.91 ↓ (35.3)	7.89 ↓ (9.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edinburgh
85.2%

Draw
3.1%

Zebre
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.7%

2.6%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edinburgh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Zebre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Edinburgh - Zebre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:18

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (19 - 15)
2nd Half (12 - 15)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Zebre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Edinburgh is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 509:350. (average 25.5:17.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Edinburgh won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 280:146. (average 28:14.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Edinburgh	3	3	0	0	80:54	13
16	Zebre	3	0	0	3	52:116	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edinburgh Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
05.04.26	Leinster - Edinburgh	49:31 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.03.26	Stormers - Edinburgh	33:14 ✺
21.03.26	Lions - Edinburgh	54:17 ✺
13.03.26	Edinburgh - Ulster	19:40 ✺
27.02.26	Edinburgh - Llanelli Scarlets	24:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Zebre Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
11.04.26	Zebre - Newport Gwent Dragons	32:35 ✺
05.04.26	Zebre - Section Paloise	31:15 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.03.26	Zebre - Ulster	12:28 ✺
20.03.26	Llanelli Scarlets - Zebre	36:17 ✺
28.02.26	Munster - Zebre	21:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
27.09.25	Zebre - Edinburgh	31:28
25.04.25	Zebre - Edinburgh	25:25
14.02.25	Edinburgh - Zebre	17:22
10.05.24	Edinburgh - Zebre	40:14
16.02.24	Zebre - Edinburgh	19:24
07.01.23	Edinburgh - Zebre	24:17
22.10.22	Zebre - Edinburgh	19:38

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