Match Info

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app
World	EPCR Rugby TV


	Connacht		Sharks

	1	X	2
	1.2	26	4.5
	1.2	28	4.5
	1.18	26	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↑ (1.17)	26.67 ↓ (30)	4.67 ↓ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Connacht
76.9%

Draw
3.4%

Sharks
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.6%

3.1%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Connacht - Sharks Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Connacht will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:19

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bohan B.	1. Nche O.
2. Heffernan D.	2. Swart E.
3. Illo S.	3. Koch V.
4. Joyce J.	4. Etzebeth E.
5. Murray D.	5. Slabbert D.
6. Murphy J.	6. Mavesere T.
7. Hurley-Langton S.	7. Potgieter J.
8. Prendergast C. (C)	8. Hatton N. (C)
9. Devine M.	9. Braude R.
10. Ioane J.	10. Smith J.
11. Mullins C.	11. Mapimpi M.
12. Aki B.	12. Potgieter M.
13. Forde C.	13. Malan L. R.
14. Jennings S.	14. van der Merwe E.
15. Gilbert S.	15. Kunene H.
Substitutes
16. Tierney-Martin D.	16. Bester E.
17. Dooley P.	17. Mazibuko L.
18. Bealham F.	18. Mdanda M.
19. Murray N.	19. Rahl C.
20. Boyle P.	20. Tshituka V.
21. Reilly C.	21. Everson C.
22. Naughton S.	22. Masuku S.
23. Devine J.	23. Hooker E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 12)
6', Smith J. (Penalty Goal),
20', Smith J. (Penalty Goal),
21', Mullins C. (Try),
23', Gilbert S. (Conversion Goal),
31', Smith J. (Penalty Goal),
33', Smith J. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (22 - 0)
46', Forde C. (Try),
47', Gilbert S. (Conversion Goal),
54', Hurley-Langton S. (Try),
62', Forde C. (Try),
63', Gilbert S. (Conversion Goal),
69', Gilbert S. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

In this match, Connacht is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 138:112. (average 27.6:22.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Connacht won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 104:59. (average 34.7:19.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Connacht Rugby
United Rugby Championship
28.03.26	Connacht - Ospreys	21:14 ✺
20.03.26	Ulster - Connacht	19:26 ✺
13.03.26	Connacht - Llanelli Scarlets	31:14 ✺
28.02.26	Connacht - Glasgow Warriors	15:10 ✺
31.01.26	Zebre - Connacht	15:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWWW
- Sharks Rugby
United Rugby Championship
27.03.26	Sharks - Cardiff Rugby	21:15 ✺
21.03.26	Sharks - Munster	45:0 ✺
28.02.26	Blue Bulls - Sharks	41:12 ✺
21.02.26	Lions - Sharks	34:22 ✺
31.01.26	Sharks - Stormers	36:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
29.11.25	Connacht - Sharks	44:17
28.09.24	Connacht - Sharks	36:30
18.11.23	Sharks - Connacht	12:13
07.01.23	Connacht - Sharks	24:12
30.04.22	Sharks - Connacht	41:21

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