Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 16

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Edinburgh Rugby Stadium (Edinburgh)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Edinburgh		Sharks

	1	X	2
	2.5	21	1.57
	2.7	23	1.48
	2.39	20.32	1.64	Watch
	2.4	23	1.53
	2.5	19	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.87)	21.26 ↑ (20.26)	1.56 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edinburgh
36.8%

Draw
4.3%

Sharks
58.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.5%

4.6%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

5.3%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edinburgh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edinburgh than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sharks than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Edinburgh - Sharks Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Edinburgh will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:28

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 14)
2nd Half (19 - 14)

Preview

Edinburgh is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sharks has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sharks is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 100:104. (average 20:20.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Edinburgh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:40. (average 18:20).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Edinburgh	3	3	0	0	80:54	14
5	Sharks	3	2	0	1	89:83	10

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Sharks: 3.51% Edinburgh: 1.34%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edinburgh Rugby
United Rugby Championship
17.04.26	Edinburgh - Zebre	31:30 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
05.04.26	Leinster - Edinburgh	49:31 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.03.26	Stormers - Edinburgh	33:14 ✺
21.03.26	Lions - Edinburgh	54:17 ✺
13.03.26	Edinburgh - Ulster	19:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL
- Sharks Rugby
United Rugby Championship
18.04.26	Ospreys - Sharks	21:17 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
03.04.26	Connacht - Sharks	29:12 ✺
United Rugby Championship
27.03.26	Sharks - Cardiff Rugby	21:15 ✺
21.03.26	Sharks - Munster	45:0 ✺
28.02.26	Blue Bulls - Sharks	41:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
18.04.25	Edinburgh - Sharks	17:18
Challenge Cup Rugby
13.04.24	Sharks - Edinburgh	36:30
United Rugby Championship
30.03.24	Sharks - Edinburgh	23:13
28.01.23	Edinburgh - Sharks	19:22
26.03.22	Sharks - Edinburgh	5:21

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