Match Info

Top 14 - Round 22

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Stade Français		Section Paloise

	1	X	2
	1.4	26	3
	1.32	25	3.45
	1.33	25.28	3.65	Watch
	1.33	26	3.25
	1.31	19	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.21)	24.26 ↑ (24.2)	3.4 ↓ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Français
69%

Draw
3.8%

Section Paloise
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.6%

3.9%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Français has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stade Français's form might have worsened.

Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Section Paloise's recent form is better than expected.

Stade Français - Section Paloise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:26

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alo-Emile M.	1. Biziwu D.
2. Nicotera G.	2. Montoya J.
3. Alo-Emile P.	3. Laclayat T.
4. Gabrillagues P. (C)	4. Auradou H.
5. Azagoh P.	5. Maximin J.
6. Hirigoyen M.	6. Gorgadze B. (C)
7. Briatte R.	7. Credoz L.
8. Tanga Mangene Y.	8. Isa F.
9. Kerr-Barlow T.	9. Robson D.
10. Carbonel L.	10. Simmonds J.
11. Marchant J.	11. Grandidier-Nkanang A.
12. Vili T.	12. Brau-Boirie F.
13. Ward J. C.	13. Gailleton E.
14. Dakuwaqa P.	14. Attissogbe T.
15. Barre L.	15. Maddocks J.
Substitutes
16. Peyresblanques L.	16. Rey L.
17. Iscaro J.	17. Papidze G.
18. Pesenti B.	18. Jolmes T.
19. Macalou S.	19. Picquette R.
20. Abadie P.	20. Zegueur S.
21. Foursans-Bourdette L.	21. Daubagna T.
22. Ezeala S.	22. Desperes A.
23. Melikidze G.	23. Tokolahi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 18)
7', Montoya J. (Try),
15', Auradou H. 🟨,
16', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
17', Montoya J. 🟨,
17', (Penalty Try),
20', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
26', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
32', Maddocks J. (Try),
32', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (21 - 14)
45', Nicotera G. (Try),
45', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
48', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
54', Gailleton E. (Try),
59', Ward J. C. (Try),
59', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
65', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
69', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
78', Desperes A. 🟨,
79', (Penalty Try),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Stade Français is a strong favorite.

We predict that Stade Français will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 507:469. (average 25.4:23.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Stade Français won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 311:207. (average 31.1:20.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Section Paloise	5	4	0	1	204:155	18
10	Stade Francais Paris	5	2	0	3	117:136	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Français
French Top 14
19.04.26	Racing Métro - Stade Français	47:20 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
05.04.26	Stade Français - Newport Gwent Dragons	31:36 ✺
French Top 14
29.03.26	Stade Français - Clermont	64:20 ✺
21.03.26	Toulon - Stade Français	27:46 ✺
28.02.26	Stade Français - Perpignan	42:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWWW
- Section Paloise
French Top 14
18.04.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Section Paloise	22:54 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
05.04.26	Zebre - Section Paloise	31:15 ✺
French Top 14
28.03.26	Section Paloise - Racing Métro	27:17 ✺
21.03.26	La Rochelle - Section Paloise	20:6 ✺
01.03.26	Section Paloise - Bordeaux Bègles	39:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
13.09.25	Section Paloise - Stade Français	34:10
15.02.25	Stade Français - Section Paloise	39:37
28.09.24	Section Paloise - Stade Français	30:16
02.03.24	Stade Français - Section Paloise	25:12
25.11.23	Section Paloise - Stade Français	30:6
31.12.22	Stade Français - Section Paloise	37:3
15.10.22	Section Paloise - Stade Français	29:31

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