Match Info
Top 14 - Round 19Date: 21 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Stade Marcel-Deflandre (La Rochelle)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 France | CANAL+ France |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
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La Rochelle |
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Section Paloise |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.4 |
23 |
3 |
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 |
1.45 |
25 |
2.8 |
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 |
1.48 |
22.64 |
2.89 |
 Watch |
 |
1.44 |
23 |
2.88 |
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 |
1.46 |
29 |
2.78 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.29) |
24.53 ↑
(21.6) |
2.87 ↓
(4.15) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 55.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
La Rochelle
64% | Draw
3.8% | Section Paloise
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Rochelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Rochelle's form might have worsened.Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Section Paloise's recent form is better than expected.La Rochelle - Section Paloise Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. La Rochelle will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Section Paloise will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Section Paloise: 77.8% โ 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +7.5 - Section Paloise (1.84) (votes: 3 - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Section Paloise will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Section Paloise (votes: 8 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:25 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  Wardi R.
| 1.  Kaulashvili L.
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2. Lespiaucq-Brettes Q.
| 2.  Montoya J.
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3. Feao U.
| 3. Papidze G.
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4. Kante-Samba C.
| 4. Auradou H.
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5.  Douglas K.
| 5. Maximin J.
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6. Haddad M.
| 6.  Whitelock L. (C)
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7.  Botia L.
| 7. Hewat R.
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8. Alldritt G. (C)
| 8. Isa F.
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9. Le Garrec N.
| 9. Daubagna T.
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10. Hastoy A.
| 10. Desperes A.
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11.  Leyds D.
| 11. Arfeuil G.
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12. Seguret A.
| 12. Decron N.
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13. Niniashvili D.
| 13. Gailleton E.
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14.  Nowell J.
| 14. Attissogbe T.
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15. Pacome U.
| 15. Maddocks J.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Sutidze N.
| 16. Rey L.
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17. Kaddouri A.
| 17. Seneca R.
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18. Skelton W.
| 18. Jolmes T.
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19. Lavault T.
| 19. Picquette R.
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20. Timo A.
| 20. Zegueur S.
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21. Berjon T.
| 21. Robson D.
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22. Lagivala S.
| 22. Simmonds J.
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23. Kuntelia A.
| 23. Laclayat T.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (10 - 3)
- 7', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 25', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 37', Lespiaucq-Brettes Q. (Try),
- 37', Hastoy A. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (10 - 3)
- 65', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 68', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 69', Nowell J. (Try),
- 69', Hastoy A. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Rochelle won 3. In this match, La Rochelle is a strong favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Rochelle won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 653:430. (average 32.7:21.5).Including home matches between the teams, La Rochelle won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 359:171. (average 39.9:19).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 2 | Section Paloise | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 204:155 | 18 |
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| 7 | Stade Rochelais | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 116:119 | 13 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| French Top 14 | | | 30.11.25 | Section Paloise - La Rochelle | 53:33 | | 07.06.25 | Section Paloise - La Rochelle | 32:18 | | 21.09.24 | La Rochelle - Section Paloise | 49:25 | | 18.05.24 | La Rochelle - Section Paloise | 25:16 | | 06.01.24 | Section Paloise - La Rochelle | 20:29 | | 04.03.23 | Section Paloise - La Rochelle | 32:36 | | 29.10.22 | La Rochelle - Section Paloise | 21:38 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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